Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 0@Washington Capitals 4
2025-12-18TOR · WSH
CF%?
41.6%·58.4%
xGF%?
42.6%·57.4%
HDCF%?
43.3%·56.7%
5v5 xGF%?
37.1%·62.9%
5v5 CF%?
37.5%·62.5%
?
WSH wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 30%Deserved to win?70% WSH
the game's chances, replayed · 2.42 xG vs 3.56 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 0@WSH 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-18 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJohn CarlsonWSH · 1G · 2A · 0.09 ixG86
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickLogan ThompsonWSH · 22 sv · 0 GA · GSAx +2.2083
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJustin SourdifWSH · 2A · 0.24 ixG · 6 FOW82TOR
1
Nicholas Robertson582
Troy Stecher563
Jake McCabe564
John Tavares565
Dakota Joshua556
Steven Lorentz547
Nicolas Roy548
Morgan Rielly549
Simon Benoit5210
Auston Matthews5211
William Nylander5112
Henry Thrun5113
Easton Cowan4914
Matthew Knies4815
Oliver Ekman-Larsson4816
Bobby McMann4717
Max Domi4518
Scott Laughton43
Nicholas Robertson582Troy Stecher563Jake McCabe564John Tavares565Dakota Joshua556Steven Lorentz547Nicolas Roy548Morgan Rielly549Simon Benoit5210Auston Matthews5211William Nylander5112Henry Thrun5113Easton Cowan4914Matthew Knies4815Oliver Ekman-Larsson4816Bobby McMann4717Max Domi4518Scott Laughton43Goalies
WSH
1John Carlson862Justin Sourdif823
Tom Wilson714
Connor McMichael665
Jakob Chychrun656
Aliaksei Protas657
Nic Dowd658
Ethen Frank649
Rasmus Sandin5510
Bogdan Trineyev5511
Matt Roy5412
Martin Fehérváry5413
Brandon Duhaime5314
Alex Ovechkin5315
Dylan Strome5216
Declan Chisholm5217
Anthony Beauvillier5118
Sonny Milano51
John Carlson862Justin Sourdif823Tom Wilson714Connor McMichael665Jakob Chychrun656Aliaksei Protas657Nic Dowd658Ethen Frank649Rasmus Sandin5510Bogdan Trineyev5511Matt Roy5412Martin Fehérváry5413Brandon Duhaime5314Alex Ovechkin5315Dylan Strome5216Declan Chisholm5217Anthony Beauvillier5118Sonny Milano51Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 (4) | 0 (8) | 0 (10) | 0 |
| WSH | 2 (8) | 0 (13) | 2 (8) | 4 |
| TOR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/5 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 27 | Hits | 13 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 22 |
| TOR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Goals | 4 |
| 3.86 | Expected goals | 5.20 |
| 2.17 | 5v5 xG | 3.68 |
| 1.64 | Power-play xG | 1.52 |
| 47 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 22 | On goal | 29 |
| 13 | High-danger | 17 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 12 | Missed | 23 |
| 13 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.082 | xG per attempt | 0.079 |
| 28 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG86 of 113 attempts shown