Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Edmonton Oilers 6@Toronto Maple Leafs 3
2025-12-13EDM · TOR
CF%?
54.8%·45.2%
xGF%?
51.8%·48.2%
HDCF%?
48.6%·51.4%
5v5 xGF%?
54.9%·45.1%
5v5 CF%?
56.3%·43.7%
?
TOR wins ↑EDM wins ↓
EDM 54%Deserved to win?46% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 3.33 xG vs 3.08 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
EDM 6@TOR 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-13 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickConnor McDavidEDM · 2G · 1A · 0.37 ixG89
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickLeon DraisaitlEDM · 3A · 0.32 ixG · 1 tk87
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickVasily PodkolzinEDM · 2G · 0.59 ixG · 1 tk86EDM
1Connor McDavid892Leon Draisaitl873Vasily Podkolzin864
Zach Hyman675
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins676
Darnell Nurse667
Evan Bouchard648
Matt Savoie639
Trent Frederic5910
Mattias Ekholm5711
Alec Regula5612
Curtis Lazar5513
David Tomasek5414
Ty Emberson5415
Andrew Mangiapane5216
Mattias Janmark4817
Spencer Stastney45
Connor McDavid892Leon Draisaitl873Vasily Podkolzin864Zach Hyman675Ryan Nugent-Hopkins676Darnell Nurse667Evan Bouchard648Matt Savoie639Trent Frederic5910Mattias Ekholm5711Alec Regula5612Curtis Lazar5513David Tomasek5414Ty Emberson5415Andrew Mangiapane5216Mattias Janmark4817Spencer Stastney45Goalies
TOR
1
Steven Lorentz762
Scott Laughton673
Oliver Ekman-Larsson664
Easton Cowan645
Jake McCabe646
Troy Stecher587
Matthew Knies578
Calle Jarnkrok569
Nicholas Robertson5510
Bobby McMann5411
Auston Matthews5312
John Tavares5313
Simon Benoit5214
Morgan Rielly5015
Nicolas Roy5016
Henry Thrun5017
Max Domi4818
William Nylander44
Steven Lorentz762Scott Laughton673Oliver Ekman-Larsson664Easton Cowan645Jake McCabe646Troy Stecher587Matthew Knies578Calle Jarnkrok569Nicholas Robertson5510Bobby McMann5411Auston Matthews5312John Tavares5313Simon Benoit5214Morgan Rielly5015Nicolas Roy5016Henry Thrun5017Max Domi4818William Nylander44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 1 (12) | 2 (14) | 3 (12) | 6 |
| TOR | 1 (10) | 1 (12) | 1 (6) | 3 |
| EDM | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/1 |
| 17 | Hits | 25 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 24 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 25 |
| EDM | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Goals | 3 |
| 5.02 | Expected goals | 4.68 |
| 3.81 | 5v5 xG | 3.13 |
| 1.22 | Power-play xG | 1.46 |
| 69 | Shot attempts | 57 |
| 38 | On goal | 28 |
| 17 | High-danger | 18 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 15 | Missed | 18 |
| 16 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.073 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG99 of 126 attempts shown