Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 2@New York Islanders 3
2025-12-13TBL · NYI
CF%?
63.7%·36.3%
xGF%?
64.1%·35.9%
HDCF%?
70.3%·29.7%
5v5 xGF%?
59.6%·40.4%
5v5 CF%?
64.3%·35.7%
?
NYI wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 83%Deserved to win?17% NYI
the game's chances, replayed · 4.27 xG vs 2.20 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 2@NYI 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-13 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickIlya SorokinNYI · 32 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +2.6892
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 2A · 0.38 ixG · 1 blk86
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJ.J. MoserTBL · 1G · 0.17 ixG · 4 blk75TBL
1Nikita Kucherov862J.J. Moser753
Darren Raddysh734
Jake Guentzel705
Brayden Point626
Yanni Gourde627
Dominic James618
Zemgus Girgensons589
Nick Paul5710
Brandon Hagel5611
Anthony Cirelli5512
Max Crozier5413
Oliver Bjorkstrand5414
Scott Sabourin5415
Pontus Holmberg5416
Emil Lilleberg5217
Declan Carlile5018
Charle-Edouard D'Astous44
Nikita Kucherov862J.J. Moser753Darren Raddysh734Jake Guentzel705Brayden Point626Yanni Gourde627Dominic James618Zemgus Girgensons589Nick Paul5710Brandon Hagel5611Anthony Cirelli5512Max Crozier5413Oliver Bjorkstrand5414Scott Sabourin5415Pontus Holmberg5416Emil Lilleberg5217Declan Carlile5018Charle-Edouard D'Astous44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (8) | 1 (17) | 1 (8) | 0 (1) | 2 |
| NYI | 2 (9) | 0 (1) | 0 (6) | 0 (1) | 3 |
| TBL | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 27 | Hits | 19 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 8 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 35 | Faceoff wins | 34 |
| TBL | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 2 |
| 6.09 | Expected goals | 3.41 |
| 3.37 | 5v5 xG | 2.28 |
| 2.41 | Power-play xG | 0.79 |
| 72 | Shot attempts | 41 |
| 34 | On goal | 17 |
| 26 | High-danger | 11 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 16 | Missed | 14 |
| 22 | Blocked | 10 |
| 0.085 | xG per attempt | 0.083 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG81 of 113 attempts shown