Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 3@Washington Capitals 2
CAR · WSH
CF%?
64.3%·35.7%
xGF%?
60.0%·40.0%
HDCF%?
54.3%·45.7%
5v5 xGF%?
60.2%·39.8%
5v5 CF%?
64.9%·35.1%
?
WSH wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 64%Deserved to win?36% WSH
the game's chances, replayed · 3.86 xG vs 3.00 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelCAR 3@WSH 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-11 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickLogan StankovenCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.59 ixG86
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNikolaj EhlersCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.45 ixG80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickLogan ThompsonWSH · 1 gv · 37 sv · 2 GA78CAR
1
Logan Stankoven862
Nikolaj Ehlers803
Sebastian Aho664
K'Andre Miller615
Alexander Nikishin616
Seth Jarvis587
Jalen Chatfield588
Jordan Staal589
Shayne Gostisbehere5710
Andrei Svechnikov5611
Sean Walker5612
Taylor Hall5513
Jordan Martinook5414
Joel Nystrom5415
Jackson Blake5416
Mark Jankowski5317
Eric Robinson5318
William Carrier53
Logan Stankoven862
Nikolaj Ehlers803
Sebastian Aho664
K'Andre Miller615
Alexander Nikishin616
Seth Jarvis587
Jalen Chatfield588
Jordan Staal589
Shayne Gostisbehere5710
Andrei Svechnikov5611
Sean Walker5612
Taylor Hall5513
Jordan Martinook5414
Joel Nystrom5415
Jackson Blake5416
Mark Jankowski5317
Eric Robinson5318
William Carrier53Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 0 (13) | 1 (16) | 1 (10) | 0 (0) | 3 |
| WSH | 0 (4) | 1 (5) | 1 (13) | 0 (3) | 2 |
| CAR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 29 | Hits | 21 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 10 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 16 |
| CAR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 2 |
| 5.77 | Expected goals | 3.84 |
| 4.69 | 5v5 xG | 3.10 |
| 0.72 | Power-play xG | 0.17 |
| 83 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 39 | On goal | 25 |
| 19 | High-danger | 16 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 22 | Missed | 11 |
| 22 | Blocked | 10 |
| 0.069 | xG per attempt | 0.083 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG97 of 129 attempts shown

















