Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 8@New Jersey Devils 4
TBL · NJD
CF%?
46.2%·53.8%
xGF%?
45.6%·54.4%
HDCF%?
51.7%·48.3%
5v5 xGF%?
48.5%·51.5%
5v5 CF%?
45.9%·54.1%
?
NJD wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 35%Deserved to win?65% NJD
the game's chances, replayed · 2.86 xG vs 3.74 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelTBL 8@NJD 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-11 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 4A · 0.20 ixG · on-ice +0.14 xG96
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickOliver BjorkstrandTBL · 2G · 1A · 0.42 ixG92
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 1G · 2A · 0.32 ixG89TBL
1
Nikita Kucherov962
Oliver Bjorkstrand923
Jake Guentzel894
Brandon Hagel855
Darren Raddysh746
Brayden Point747
J.J. Moser748
Nick Paul679
Declan Carlile6410
Pontus Holmberg6211
Anthony Cirelli6212
Scott Sabourin5913
Max Crozier5614
Curtis Douglas5315
Emil Lilleberg5316
Zemgus Girgensons5117
Charle-Edouard D'Astous4918
Yanni Gourde49
Nikita Kucherov962
Oliver Bjorkstrand923
Jake Guentzel894
Brandon Hagel855
Darren Raddysh746
Brayden Point747
J.J. Moser748
Nick Paul679
Declan Carlile6410
Pontus Holmberg6211
Anthony Cirelli6212
Scott Sabourin5913
Max Crozier5614
Curtis Douglas5315
Emil Lilleberg5316
Zemgus Girgensons5117
Charle-Edouard D'Astous4918
Yanni Gourde49Goalies
NJD
1
Paul Cotter782
Jesper Bratt733
Luke Hughes694
Cody Glass695
Stefan Noesen686
Colton White677
Brenden Dillon678
Angus Crookshank679
Simon Nemec6410
Nico Hischier6211
Jonas Siegenthaler6212
Dougie Hamilton6013
Luke Glendening5514
Connor Brown5515
Xavier Parent5216
Ondrej Palat5217
Arseny Gritsyuk4818
Dawson Mercer44
Paul Cotter782
Jesper Bratt733
Luke Hughes694
Cody Glass695
Stefan Noesen686
Colton White677
Brenden Dillon678
Angus Crookshank679
Simon Nemec6410
Nico Hischier6211
Jonas Siegenthaler6212
Dougie Hamilton6013
Luke Glendening5514
Connor Brown5515
Xavier Parent5216
Ondrej Palat5217
Arseny Gritsyuk4818
Dawson Mercer44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 4 (15) | 2 (13) | 2 (7) | 8 |
| NJD | 1 (15) | 1 (6) | 2 (16) | 4 |
| TBL | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 3/4 | Power play | 2/4 |
| 15 | Hits | 32 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 7 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 34 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| TBL | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.30 | Expected goals | 5.13 |
| 3.35 | 5v5 xG | 3.57 |
| 0.95 | Power-play xG | 1.40 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 35 | On goal | 37 |
| 15 | High-danger | 14 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 6 | Missed | 12 |
| 14 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.078 | xG per attempt | 0.080 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG90 of 119 attempts shown


