Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 4@Edmonton Oilers 3
2025-12-09BUF · EDM
CF%?
47.7%·52.3%
xGF%?
49.1%·50.9%
HDCF%?
51.9%·48.1%
5v5 xGF%?
44.6%·55.4%
5v5 CF%?
47.9%·52.1%
?
EDM wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 39%Deserved to win?61% EDM
the game's chances, replayed · 2.42 xG vs 2.99 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 4@EDM 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-09 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 2A · 0.52 ixG94
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickConnor McDavidEDM · 2G · 0.45 ixG · 1 blk85
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJosh DoanBUF · 2G · 0.52 ixG · 1 gv83BUF
1Tage Thompson942Josh Doan833
Rasmus Dahlin764
Ryan McLeod655
Alex Tuch646
Peyton Krebs567
Bowen Byram558
Zach Benson559
Jacob Bryson5310
Tyson Kozak5311
Jordan Greenway5312
Beck Malenstyn5313
Isak Rosen5314
Conor Timmins5315
Josh Dunne5116
Alec Regula5017
Mattias Samuelsson4818
Owen Power4819
Jack Quinn47
Tage Thompson942Josh Doan833Rasmus Dahlin764Ryan McLeod655Alex Tuch646Peyton Krebs567Bowen Byram558Zach Benson559Jacob Bryson5310Tyson Kozak5311Jordan Greenway5312Beck Malenstyn5313Isak Rosen5314Conor Timmins5315Josh Dunne5116Alec Regula5017Mattias Samuelsson4818Owen Power4819Jack Quinn47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (7) | 2 (14) | 0 (6) | 1 (1) | 4 |
| EDM | 0 (8) | 0 (10) | 3 (12) | 0 (0) | 3 |
| BUF | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/6 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 14 | Hits | 17 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 21 | Faceoff wins | 34 |
| BUF | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.41 | Expected goals | 4.57 |
| 2.23 | 5v5 xG | 2.76 |
| 1.39 | Power-play xG | 1.65 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 28 | On goal | 30 |
| 14 | High-danger | 13 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 8 | Missed | 14 |
| 17 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.083 | xG per attempt | 0.079 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG80 of 111 attempts shown