Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Boston Bruins 5@St. Louis Blues 2
BOS · STL
CF%?
56.2%·43.8%
xGF%?
63.6%·36.4%
HDCF%?
61.1%·38.9%
5v5 xGF%?
57.5%·42.5%
5v5 CF%?
56.5%·43.5%
?
STL wins ↑BOS wins ↓
BOS 67%Deserved to win?33% STL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.36 xG vs 2.43 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelBOS 5@STL 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-09 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMark KastelicBOS · 2G · 0.67 ixG · 3 blk93
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDavid PastrnakBOS · 3A · 0.78 ixG · 1 blk88
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickFraser MintenBOS · 2G · 0.49 ixG · 1 blk87BOS
1
Mark Kastelic932
David Pastrnak883
Fraser Minten874
Sean Kuraly775
Pavel Zacha746
Nikita Zadorov737
Andrew Peeke728
Marat Khusnutdinov699
Elias Lindholm6710
Alex Steeves5711
Mason Lohrei5712
Victor Soderstrom5713
Viktor Arvidsson5614
Morgan Geekie5315
Hampus Lindholm5316
Jonathan Aspirot5217
Casey Mittelstadt4918
Tanner Jeannot48
Mark Kastelic932
David Pastrnak883
Fraser Minten874
Sean Kuraly775
Pavel Zacha746
Nikita Zadorov737
Andrew Peeke728
Marat Khusnutdinov699
Elias Lindholm6710
Alex Steeves5711
Mason Lohrei5712
Victor Soderstrom5713
Viktor Arvidsson5614
Morgan Geekie5315
Hampus Lindholm5316
Jonathan Aspirot5217
Casey Mittelstadt4918
Tanner Jeannot48Goalies
STL
1
Pavel Buchnevich782
Robert Thomas743
Justin Faulk654
Matt Luff595
Pius Suter556
Colton Parayko557
Tyler Tucker548
Aleksanteri Kaskimaki549
Mathieu Joseph5410
Jake Neighbours5311
Oskar Sundqvist5312
Nick Bjugstad5313
Dylan Holloway5214
Brayden Schenn5115
Dalibor Dvorsky5016
Cam Fowler5017
Logan Mailloux4618
Philip Broberg44
Pavel Buchnevich782
Robert Thomas743
Justin Faulk654
Matt Luff595
Pius Suter556
Colton Parayko557
Tyler Tucker548
Aleksanteri Kaskimaki549
Mathieu Joseph5410
Jake Neighbours5311
Oskar Sundqvist5312
Nick Bjugstad5313
Dylan Holloway5214
Brayden Schenn5115
Dalibor Dvorsky5016
Cam Fowler5017
Logan Mailloux4618
Philip Broberg44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 (11) | 2 (13) | 3 (7) | 5 |
| STL | 1 (10) | 0 (3) | 1 (13) | 2 |
| BOS | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 26 | Hits | 30 |
| 20 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 12 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 24 | Faceoff wins | 33 |
| BOS | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 2 |
| 7.38 | Expected goals | 4.23 |
| 4.46 | 5v5 xG | 3.30 |
| 0.49 | Power-play xG | 0.84 |
| 73 | Shot attempts | 57 |
| 31 | On goal | 26 |
| 22 | High-danger | 14 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 22 | Missed | 10 |
| 20 | Blocked | 21 |
| 0.101 | xG per attempt | 0.074 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG89 of 130 attempts shown

