Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 4@Calgary Flames 7
2025-12-08BUF · CGY
CF%?
58.4%·41.6%
xGF%?
55.7%·44.3%
HDCF%?
58.1%·41.9%
5v5 xGF%?
62.1%·37.9%
5v5 CF%?
58.8%·41.3%
?
CGY wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 64%Deserved to win?36% CGY
the game's chances, replayed · 3.40 xG vs 2.64 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 4@CGY 7
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-08 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickYegor SharangovichCGY · 2G · 1A · 0.84 ixG85
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNazem KadriCGY · 1G · 2A · 0.18 ixG80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickPeyton KrebsBUF · 1A · 0.09 ixG · 1 blk74BUF
1Peyton Krebs742
Rasmus Dahlin733
Josh Norris734
Tage Thompson725
Owen Power716
Jason Zucker717
Alex Tuch708
Jacob Bryson629
Josh Doan6110
Bowen Byram5711
Ryan McLeod5712
Zach Benson5713
Tyson Kozak5614
Beck Malenstyn5515
Jordan Greenway5316
Conor Timmins5317
Jack Quinn5318
Mattias Samuelsson52
Peyton Krebs742Rasmus Dahlin733Josh Norris734Tage Thompson725Owen Power716Jason Zucker717Alex Tuch708Jacob Bryson629Josh Doan6110Bowen Byram5711Ryan McLeod5712Zach Benson5713Tyson Kozak5614Beck Malenstyn5515Jordan Greenway5316Conor Timmins5317Jack Quinn5318Mattias Samuelsson52Goalies
CGY
1Yegor Sharangovich852Nazem Kadri803
Joel Farabee744
Yan Kuznetsov735
Matt Coronato736
Rasmus Andersson677
Mikael Backlund678
Blake Coleman669
Jonathan Huberdeau6010
MacKenzie Weegar5911
Morgan Frost5812
Adam Klapka5413
Ryan Lomberg5414
Joel Hanley5315
Brayden Pachal5316
Kevin Bahl5217
John Beecher5018
Connor Zary48
Yegor Sharangovich852Nazem Kadri803Joel Farabee744Yan Kuznetsov735Matt Coronato736Rasmus Andersson677Mikael Backlund678Blake Coleman669Jonathan Huberdeau6010MacKenzie Weegar5911Morgan Frost5812Adam Klapka5413Ryan Lomberg5414Joel Hanley5315Brayden Pachal5316Kevin Bahl5217John Beecher5018Connor Zary48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 0 (7) | 3 (15) | 1 (7) | 4 |
| CGY | 2 (12) | 3 (10) | 2 (6) | 7 |
| BUF | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/9 | Power play | 2/8 |
| 19 | Hits | 17 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 9 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 33 | Faceoff wins | 37 |
| BUF | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 7 |
| 5.31 | Expected goals | 4.23 |
| 3.38 | 5v5 xG | 2.06 |
| 1.56 | Power-play xG | 0.47 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 29 | On goal | 28 |
| 25 | High-danger | 18 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 19 | Missed | 11 |
| 18 | Blocked | 8 |
| 0.080 | xG per attempt | 0.090 |
| 27 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG87 of 113 attempts shown