Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 0@Toronto Maple Leafs 2
2025-12-08TBL · TOR
CF%?
56.2%·43.8%
xGF%?
49.0%·51.0%
HDCF%?
60.0%·40.0%
5v5 xGF%?
57.5%·42.5%
5v5 CF%?
58.3%·41.7%
?
TOR wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 49%Deserved to win?51% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 1.97 xG vs 2.03 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 0@TOR 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-08 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickDennis HildebyTOR · 1 gv · 29 sv · 0 GA88
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAuston MatthewsTOR · 1G · 1.26 ixG · 3 blk81
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJonas JohanssonTBL · 1 gv · 23 sv · 1 GA70TBL
1
Anthony Cirelli622
Pontus Holmberg593
Nick Paul584
Charle-Edouard D'Astous565
Brandon Hagel566
Brayden Point567
Jake Guentzel548
Oliver Bjorkstrand549
Emil Lilleberg5310
Zemgus Girgensons5211
Nikita Kucherov5012
J.J. Moser5013
Max Crozier5014
Troy Stecher4915
Jack Finley4816
Darren Raddysh4817
Gage Goncalves4818
Yanni Gourde4719
Victor Hedman46
Anthony Cirelli622Pontus Holmberg593Nick Paul584Charle-Edouard D'Astous565Brandon Hagel566Brayden Point567Jake Guentzel548Oliver Bjorkstrand549Emil Lilleberg5310Zemgus Girgensons5211Nikita Kucherov5012J.J. Moser5013Max Crozier5014Troy Stecher4915Jack Finley4816Darren Raddysh4817Gage Goncalves4818Yanni Gourde4719Victor Hedman46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 0 (15) | 0 (5) | 0 (9) | 0 |
| TOR | 1 (10) | 0 (8) | 1 (7) | 2 |
| TBL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/5 |
| 16 | Hits | 20 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 8 |
| 19 | Giveaways | 10 |
| 24 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| TBL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Goals | 2 |
| 3.79 | Expected goals | 3.94 |
| 3.51 | 5v5 xG | 2.59 |
| 0.15 | Power-play xG | 0.12 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 29 | On goal | 25 |
| 18 | High-danger | 12 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 12 | Missed | 13 |
| 18 | Blocked | 8 |
| 0.064 | xG per attempt | 0.086 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 36 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 105 attempts shown