Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 1@Winnipeg Jets 4
2025-12-05BUF · WPG
CF%?
61.5%·38.5%
xGF%?
58.9%·41.1%
HDCF%?
52.0%·48.0%
5v5 xGF%?
56.4%·43.6%
5v5 CF%?
59.6%·40.4%
?
WPG wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 82%Deserved to win?18% WPG
the game's chances, replayed · 4.15 xG vs 2.16 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 1@WPG 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-05 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickEric ComrieWPG · 2 gv · 34 sv · 1 GA90
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickKyle ConnorWPG · 1G · 1A · 0.42 ixG80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickGabriel VilardiWPG · 1G · 1A · 0.60 ixG78BUF
1
Jason Zucker682
Rasmus Dahlin673
Josh Norris654
Beck Malenstyn605
Tage Thompson586
Zach Benson587
Alex Tuch578
Josh Doan569
Mattias Samuelsson5610
Peyton Krebs5511
Jordan Greenway5512
Conor Timmins5513
Noah Ostlund5514
Ryan McLeod5215
Owen Power5216
Jack Quinn5117
Jacob Bryson5018
Bowen Byram47
Jason Zucker682Rasmus Dahlin673Josh Norris654Beck Malenstyn605Tage Thompson586Zach Benson587Alex Tuch578Josh Doan569Mattias Samuelsson5610Peyton Krebs5511Jordan Greenway5512Conor Timmins5513Noah Ostlund5514Ryan McLeod5215Owen Power5216Jack Quinn5117Jacob Bryson5018Bowen Byram47Goalies
WPG
1Kyle Connor802Gabriel Vilardi783
Cole Koepke774
Mark Scheifele665
Tanner Pearson616
Morgan Barron607
Dylan Samberg598
Dylan DeMelo579
Alex Iafallo5410
Adam Lowry5411
Josh Morrissey5412
Vladislav Namestnikov5413
Neal Pionk5314
Nino Niederreiter5215
Logan Stanley5216
Elias Salomonsson5117
Cole Perfetti4718
Jonathan Toews40
Kyle Connor802Gabriel Vilardi783Cole Koepke774Mark Scheifele665Tanner Pearson616Morgan Barron607Dylan Samberg598Dylan DeMelo579Alex Iafallo5410Adam Lowry5411Josh Morrissey5412Vladislav Namestnikov5413Neal Pionk5314Nino Niederreiter5215Logan Stanley5216Elias Salomonsson5117Cole Perfetti4718Jonathan Toews40Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (15) | 0 (11) | 0 (9) | 1 |
| WPG | 1 (8) | 2 (9) | 1 (6) | 4 |
| BUF | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 22 | Hits | 33 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 7 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| BUF | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 4 |
| 5.07 | Expected goals | 3.54 |
| 3.13 | 5v5 xG | 2.42 |
| 1.71 | Power-play xG | 0.52 |
| 67 | Shot attempts | 42 |
| 35 | On goal | 23 |
| 13 | High-danger | 12 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 21 | Missed | 12 |
| 11 | Blocked | 7 |
| 0.076 | xG per attempt | 0.084 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG91 of 109 attempts shown