Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 5@Carolina Hurricanes 1
2025-12-04TOR · CAR
CF%?
33.1%·66.9%
xGF%?
43.8%·56.2%
HDCF%?
35.7%·64.3%
5v5 xGF%?
36.1%·63.9%
5v5 CF%?
33.7%·66.3%
?
CAR wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 28%Deserved to win?72% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.62 xG vs 3.92 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 5@CAR 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-04 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBobby McMannTOR · 2G · 0.80 ixG · 2 hits79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMatthew KniesTOR · 1G · 1A · 0.18 ixG76
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNicolas RoyTOR · 2A · 0.12 ixG · 8 FOW75TOR
1Bobby McMann792Matthew Knies763Nicolas Roy754
Auston Matthews745
Scott Laughton716
Max Domi717
Jake McCabe608
John Tavares599
Philippe Myers5810
Morgan Rielly5811
William Nylander5712
Dakota Joshua5413
Simon Benoit4914
Troy Stecher4915
Nicholas Robertson4816
Easton Cowan4717
Oliver Ekman-Larsson46
Bobby McMann792Matthew Knies763Nicolas Roy754Auston Matthews745Scott Laughton716Max Domi717Jake McCabe608John Tavares599Philippe Myers5810Morgan Rielly5811William Nylander5712Dakota Joshua5413Simon Benoit4914Troy Stecher4915Nicholas Robertson4816Easton Cowan4717Oliver Ekman-Larsson46Goalies
CAR
1
Seth Jarvis672
Sean Walker643
William Carrier634
Jordan Staal615
Sebastian Aho606
Shayne Gostisbehere597
Logan Stankoven598
Nikolaj Ehlers589
Eric Robinson5710
Mike Reilly5611
Andrei Svechnikov5612
Taylor Hall5613
Jackson Blake5614
Mark Jankowski5515
Alexander Nikishin5516
Jordan Martinook5317
Joel Nystrom5118
Steven Lorentz5119
Jalen Chatfield47
Seth Jarvis672Sean Walker643William Carrier634Jordan Staal615Sebastian Aho606Shayne Gostisbehere597Logan Stankoven598Nikolaj Ehlers589Eric Robinson5710Mike Reilly5611Andrei Svechnikov5612Taylor Hall5613Jackson Blake5614Mark Jankowski5515Alexander Nikishin5516Jordan Martinook5317Joel Nystrom5118Steven Lorentz5119Jalen Chatfield47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 2 (7) | 2 (8) | 1 (9) | 5 |
| CAR | 1 (13) | 0 (11) | 0 (9) | 1 |
| TOR | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 20 | Hits | 18 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 24 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 35 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| TOR | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 1 |
| 4.96 | Expected goals | 6.36 |
| 2.68 | 5v5 xG | 4.74 |
| 0.51 | Power-play xG | 1.32 |
| 39 | Shot attempts | 79 |
| 24 | On goal | 33 |
| 15 | High-danger | 27 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 9 | Missed | 22 |
| 6 | Blocked | 24 |
| 0.127 | xG per attempt | 0.080 |
| 27 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG88 of 118 attempts shown