Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Pittsburgh Penguins 4@Tampa Bay Lightning 3
2025-12-04PIT · TBL
CF%?
41.1%·58.9%
xGF%?
34.9%·65.1%
HDCF%?
27.3%·72.7%
5v5 xGF%?
48.9%·51.1%
5v5 CF%?
53.3%·46.7%
?
TBL wins ↑PIT wins ↓
PIT 28%Deserved to win?72% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.00 xG vs 4.43 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
PIT 4@TBL 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-04 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickEvgeni MalkinPIT · 2G · 1A · 0.36 ixG88
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTristan JarryPIT · 37 sv · 3 GA · GSAx +1.4279
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 1G · 1A · 1.07 ixG79PIT
1Evgeni Malkin882
Ben Kindel763
Ville Koivunen674
Anthony Mantha655
Tommy Novak636
Erik Karlsson637
Kris Letang628
Blake Lizotte599
Parker Wotherspoon5810
Connor Dewar5511
Sidney Crosby5512
Bryan Rust5413
Rutger McGroarty5214
Ryan Shea5215
Kevin Hayes5216
Connor Clifton5117
Bokondji Imama4518
Ryan Graves44
Evgeni Malkin882Ben Kindel763Ville Koivunen674Anthony Mantha655Tommy Novak636Erik Karlsson637Kris Letang628Blake Lizotte599Parker Wotherspoon5810Connor Dewar5511Sidney Crosby5512Bryan Rust5413Rutger McGroarty5214Ryan Shea5215Kevin Hayes5216Connor Clifton5117Bokondji Imama4518Ryan Graves44Goalies
TBL
1Nikita Kucherov792
Brandon Hagel783
Jake Guentzel674
Darren Raddysh675
Nick Paul666
Gage Goncalves607
Anthony Cirelli578
Dominic James559
Pontus Holmberg5410
J.J. Moser5411
Oliver Bjorkstrand5312
Emil Lilleberg5213
Yanni Gourde5114
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5115
Zemgus Girgensons5116
Max Crozier5017
Declan Carlile5018
Curtis Douglas49
Nikita Kucherov792Brandon Hagel783Jake Guentzel674Darren Raddysh675Nick Paul666Gage Goncalves607Anthony Cirelli578Dominic James559Pontus Holmberg5410J.J. Moser5411Oliver Bjorkstrand5312Emil Lilleberg5213Yanni Gourde5114Charle-Edouard D'Astous5115Zemgus Girgensons5116Max Crozier5017Declan Carlile5018Curtis Douglas49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 (8) | 2 (11) | 1 (12) | 4 |
| TBL | 0 (15) | 1 (9) | 2 (16) | 3 |
| PIT | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/5 | Power play | 1/7 |
| 21 | Hits | 13 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 20 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| PIT | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 3.36 | Expected goals | 6.26 |
| 2.42 | 5v5 xG | 2.53 |
| 0.81 | Power-play xG | 3.41 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 73 |
| 31 | On goal | 40 |
| 9 | High-danger | 24 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 16 | Missed | 18 |
| 4 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.066 | xG per attempt | 0.086 |
| 37 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG105 of 124 attempts shown