Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Winnipeg Jets 1@Buffalo Sabres 5
2025-12-01WPG · BUF
CF%?
44.2%·55.8%
xGF%?
43.7%·56.3%
HDCF%?
41.4%·58.6%
5v5 xGF%?
39.1%·60.9%
5v5 CF%?
42.2%·57.8%
?
BUF wins ↑WPG wins ↓
WPG 48%Deserved to win?52% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.33 xG vs 2.42 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
WPG 1@BUF 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-01 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJosh NorrisBUF · 2G · 1A · 0.30 ixG87
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJosh DoanBUF · 2A · 0.21 ixG · 1 FOW75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex TuchBUF · 1G · 0.14 ixG · 2 blk73WPG
1
Kyle Connor672
Josh Morrissey643
Mark Scheifele594
Morgan Barron575
Alex Iafallo566
Cole Perfetti557
Vladislav Namestnikov558
Adam Lowry549
Tanner Pearson5410
Gabriel Vilardi5311
Nino Niederreiter5312
Gustav Nyquist5313
Dylan Samberg5314
Jonathan Toews5215
Colin Miller5216
Luke Schenn5117
Logan Stanley4918
Dylan DeMelo49
Kyle Connor672Josh Morrissey643Mark Scheifele594Morgan Barron575Alex Iafallo566Cole Perfetti557Vladislav Namestnikov558Adam Lowry549Tanner Pearson5410Gabriel Vilardi5311Nino Niederreiter5312Gustav Nyquist5313Dylan Samberg5314Jonathan Toews5215Colin Miller5216Luke Schenn5117Logan Stanley4918Dylan DeMelo49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 0 (8) | 1 (6) | 0 (10) | 1 |
| BUF | 3 (14) | 1 (7) | 1 (10) | 5 |
| WPG | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 35 | Hits | 12 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 1 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 8 |
| 21 | Faceoff wins | 23 |
| WPG | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 5 |
| 3.27 | Expected goals | 4.21 |
| 2.31 | 5v5 xG | 3.60 |
| 0.85 | Power-play xG | 0.61 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 24 | On goal | 31 |
| 12 | High-danger | 17 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 12 | Missed | 8 |
| 10 | Blocked | 19 |
| 0.071 | xG per attempt | 0.073 |
| 36 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG75 of 104 attempts shown