Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 3@Minnesota Wild 2
2025-11-29BUF · MIN
CF%?
56.2%·43.8%
xGF%?
56.1%·43.9%
HDCF%?
61.5%·38.5%
5v5 xGF%?
60.8%·39.2%
5v5 CF%?
58.5%·41.5%
?
MIN wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 65%Deserved to win?35% MIN
the game's chances, replayed · 2.96 xG vs 2.20 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 3@MIN 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-29 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMatt BoldyMIN · 1G · 0.55 ixG · 1 blk73
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickFilip GustavssonMIN · 31 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.0372
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickKirill KaprizovMIN · 1G · 0.52 ixG · 1 blk71BUF
1
Beck Malenstyn702
Josh Doan703
Alex Tuch684
Peyton Krebs645
Josh Dunne596
Rasmus Dahlin577
Noah Ostlund568
Tage Thompson549
Jack Quinn5410
Jake Middleton5411
Conor Timmins5412
Tyson Kozak5313
Owen Power5214
Jacob Bryson5115
Ryan McLeod5116
Zach Benson5017
Mattias Samuelsson4818
Jason Zucker48
Beck Malenstyn702Josh Doan703Alex Tuch684Peyton Krebs645Josh Dunne596Rasmus Dahlin577Noah Ostlund568Tage Thompson549Jack Quinn5410Jake Middleton5411Conor Timmins5412Tyson Kozak5313Owen Power5214Jacob Bryson5115Ryan McLeod5116Zach Benson5017Mattias Samuelsson4818Jason Zucker48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (11) | 0 (12) | 1 (8) | 0 (2) | 3 |
| MIN | 2 (11) | 0 (8) | 0 (3) | 0 (2) | 2 |
| BUF | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 20 | Hits | 18 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| BUF | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.20 | Expected goals | 3.29 |
| 3.00 | 5v5 xG | 1.93 |
| 0.57 | Power-play xG | 0.83 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 33 | On goal | 24 |
| 16 | High-danger | 10 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 0 |
| 12 | Missed | 12 |
| 14 | Blocked | 10 |
| 0.071 | xG per attempt | 0.072 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG81 of 105 attempts shown