Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 2@Washington Capitals 4
2025-11-28TOR · WSH
CF%?
44.0%·56.0%
xGF%?
44.4%·55.6%
HDCF%?
64.3%·35.7%
5v5 xGF%?
51.6%·48.4%
5v5 CF%?
45.8%·54.2%
?
WSH wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 46%Deserved to win?54% WSH
the game's chances, replayed · 2.73 xG vs 2.95 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TOR 2@WSH 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickConnor McMichaelWSH · 1G · 1A · 0.59 ixG76
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAlex OvechkinWSH · 1A · 1.26 ixG · 2 gv69
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMatthew KniesTOR · 1G · 0.44 ixG · 1 blk68TOR
1Matthew Knies682
Auston Matthews673
Morgan Rielly654
Nicolas Roy645
John Tavares606
Troy Stecher597
Scott Laughton598
Oliver Ekman-Larsson579
Bobby McMann5610
Dakota Joshua5511
Martin Fehérváry5412
Dakota Mermis5313
Easton Cowan5314
Jake McCabe5015
Matt Roy4916
Steven Lorentz4917
Simon Benoit4918
Nicholas Robertson4819
Matias Maccelli47
Matthew Knies682Auston Matthews673Morgan Rielly654Nicolas Roy645John Tavares606Troy Stecher597Scott Laughton598Oliver Ekman-Larsson579Bobby McMann5610Dakota Joshua5511Martin Fehérváry5412Dakota Mermis5313Easton Cowan5314Jake McCabe5015Matt Roy4916Steven Lorentz4917Simon Benoit4918Nicholas Robertson4819Matias Maccelli47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 (5) | 1 (5) | 0 (12) | 2 |
| WSH | 0 (10) | 1 (13) | 3 (11) | 4 |
| TOR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/0 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 28 | Hits | 17 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 0 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 22 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 22 |
| TOR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.25 | Expected goals | 5.31 |
| 4.01 | 5v5 xG | 3.76 |
| 0.23 | Power-play xG | 0.30 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 65 |
| 22 | On goal | 34 |
| 18 | High-danger | 10 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 16 | Missed | 17 |
| 13 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.083 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 28 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG89 of 116 attempts shown