Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 1@Buffalo Sabres 4
2025-11-23CAR · BUF
CF%?
62.4%·37.6%
xGF%?
51.6%·48.4%
HDCF%?
50.0%·50.0%
5v5 xGF%?
52.8%·47.2%
5v5 CF%?
61.1%·38.9%
?
BUF wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 64%Deserved to win?36% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.94 xG vs 3.07 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
CAR 1@BUF 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-23 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickUkko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF · 29 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +2.5790
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRyan McLeodBUF · 2A · 0.15 ixG · 2 blk76
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 1.13 ixG · 1 blk74CAR
1
Shayne Gostisbehere642
Seth Jarvis633
Logan Stankoven584
Andrei Svechnikov585
Mark Jankowski586
Jackson Blake557
Sean Walker558
Jalen Chatfield559
Taylor Hall5310
Jordan Martinook5311
Mike Reilly5212
K'Andre Miller5113
Nikolaj Ehlers5114
Alexander Nikishin5015
Eric Robinson4916
William Carrier4817
Joel Nystrom4818
Sebastian Aho47
Shayne Gostisbehere642Seth Jarvis633Logan Stankoven584Andrei Svechnikov585Mark Jankowski586Jackson Blake557Sean Walker558Jalen Chatfield559Taylor Hall5310Jordan Martinook5311Mike Reilly5212K'Andre Miller5113Nikolaj Ehlers5114Alexander Nikishin5015Eric Robinson4916William Carrier4817Joel Nystrom4818Sebastian Aho47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 1 (5) | 0 (12) | 0 (13) | 1 |
| BUF | 1 (7) | 2 (10) | 1 (4) | 4 |
| CAR | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 18 | Hits | 27 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 23 |
| CAR | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 4 |
| 5.58 | Expected goals | 5.24 |
| 3.12 | 5v5 xG | 2.79 |
| 2.34 | Power-play xG | 1.11 |
| 78 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 30 | On goal | 21 |
| 20 | High-danger | 20 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 26 | Missed | 16 |
| 22 | Blocked | 10 |
| 0.072 | xG per attempt | 0.111 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG93 of 125 attempts shown