Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 5@Washington Capitals 3
2025-11-22TBL · WSH
CF%?
35.1%·64.9%
xGF%?
39.6%·60.4%
HDCF%?
38.9%·61.1%
5v5 xGF%?
37.2%·62.8%
5v5 CF%?
31.3%·68.7%
?
WSH wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 16%Deserved to win?84% WSH
the game's chances, replayed · 2.05 xG vs 4.18 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TBL 5@WSH 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-22 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 2G · 2A · 0.38 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 1G · 2A · 0.39 ixG86
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTom WilsonWSH · 1A · 0.67 ixG · 7 hits78TBL
1Brandon Hagel992Nikita Kucherov863
Anthony Cirelli774
Jake Guentzel675
Charle-Edouard D'Astous656
Oliver Bjorkstrand637
J.J. Moser618
Erik Cernak599
Darren Raddysh5910
Yanni Gourde5711
Dominic James5412
Emil Lilleberg5213
Declan Carlile5114
Nick Paul5015
Zemgus Girgensons5016
Curtis Douglas4817
Gage Goncalves46
Brandon Hagel992Nikita Kucherov863Anthony Cirelli774Jake Guentzel675Charle-Edouard D'Astous656Oliver Bjorkstrand637J.J. Moser618Erik Cernak599Darren Raddysh5910Yanni Gourde5711Dominic James5412Emil Lilleberg5213Declan Carlile5114Nick Paul5015Zemgus Girgensons5016Curtis Douglas4817Gage Goncalves46Goalies
WSH
1Tom Wilson782
Jakob Chychrun733
Justin Sourdif724
Ethen Frank655
Martin Fehérváry636
Sonny Milano617
John Carlson588
Anthony Beauvillier579
Connor McMichael5710
Ryan Leonard5611
Alex Ovechkin5512
Trevor van Riemsdyk5413
Hendrix Lapierre5214
Matt Roy5215
Aliaksei Protas5116
Dylan Strome5017
Brandon Duhaime5018
Rasmus Sandin43
Tom Wilson782Jakob Chychrun733Justin Sourdif724Ethen Frank655Martin Fehérváry636Sonny Milano617John Carlson588Anthony Beauvillier579Connor McMichael5710Ryan Leonard5611Alex Ovechkin5512Trevor van Riemsdyk5413Hendrix Lapierre5214Matt Roy5215Aliaksei Protas5116Dylan Strome5017Brandon Duhaime5018Rasmus Sandin43Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 4 (6) | 0 (4) | 1 (6) | 5 |
| WSH | 1 (9) | 1 (11) | 1 (12) | 3 |
| TBL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 0/7 |
| 15 | Hits | 22 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 24 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 19 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 29 | Faceoff wins | 25 |
| TBL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.34 | Expected goals | 6.61 |
| 2.56 | 5v5 xG | 4.33 |
| 0.71 | Power-play xG | 1.98 |
| 39 | Shot attempts | 72 |
| 16 | On goal | 32 |
| 14 | High-danger | 22 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 10 | Missed | 16 |
| 13 | Blocked | 24 |
| 0.111 | xG per attempt | 0.092 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG74 of 111 attempts shown