Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 4@Winnipeg Jets 3
2025-11-21CAR · WPG
CF%?
57.0%·43.0%
xGF%?
55.3%·44.7%
HDCF%?
44.8%·55.2%
5v5 xGF%?
39.6%·60.4%
5v5 CF%?
51.7%·48.3%
?
WPG wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 39%Deserved to win?61% WPG
the game's chances, replayed · 1.97 xG vs 2.47 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
CAR 4@WPG 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-21 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJordan StaalCAR · 2G · 0.71 ixG · 13 FOW84
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickGabriel VilardiWPG · 2G · 0.38 ixG · 1 blk79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSebastian AhoCAR · 2A · 0.32 ixG · 1 blk75CAR
1Jordan Staal842Sebastian Aho753
K'Andre Miller674
Andrei Svechnikov665
Jalen Chatfield646
Jordan Martinook627
Seth Jarvis628
Nikolaj Ehlers619
Sean Walker5910
Mike Reilly5611
Shayne Gostisbehere5312
Joel Nystrom5213
Mark Jankowski5214
William Carrier5115
Jackson Blake5116
Taylor Hall4917
Eric Robinson4918
Logan Stankoven49
Jordan Staal842Sebastian Aho753K'Andre Miller674Andrei Svechnikov665Jalen Chatfield646Jordan Martinook627Seth Jarvis628Nikolaj Ehlers619Sean Walker5910Mike Reilly5611Shayne Gostisbehere5312Joel Nystrom5213Mark Jankowski5214William Carrier5115Jackson Blake5116Taylor Hall4917Eric Robinson4918Logan Stankoven49Goalies
WPG
1Gabriel Vilardi792
Josh Morrissey723
Mark Scheifele714
Cole Perfetti675
Dylan DeMelo636
Kyle Connor617
Adam Lowry598
Neal Pionk549
Alex Iafallo5410
Gustav Nyquist5411
Morgan Barron5412
Nino Niederreiter5313
Dylan Samberg5214
Cole Koepke5215
Vladislav Namestnikov5216
Jonathan Toews4917
Logan Stanley4518
Luke Schenn44
Gabriel Vilardi792Josh Morrissey723Mark Scheifele714Cole Perfetti675Dylan DeMelo636Kyle Connor617Adam Lowry598Neal Pionk549Alex Iafallo5410Gustav Nyquist5411Morgan Barron5412Nino Niederreiter5313Dylan Samberg5214Cole Koepke5215Vladislav Namestnikov5216Jonathan Toews4917Logan Stanley4518Luke Schenn44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 1 (12) | 2 (9) | 1 (7) | 4 |
| WPG | 2 (11) | 0 (4) | 1 (13) | 3 |
| CAR | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 13 | Hits | 29 |
| 21 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| CAR | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.34 | Expected goals | 3.51 |
| 1.95 | 5v5 xG | 2.98 |
| 1.26 | Power-play xG | 0.51 |
| 65 | Shot attempts | 49 |
| 28 | On goal | 28 |
| 13 | High-danger | 16 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 16 | Missed | 12 |
| 21 | Blocked | 9 |
| 0.067 | xG per attempt | 0.072 |
| 37 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG84 of 114 attempts shown