Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Edmonton Oilers 1@Buffalo Sabres 5
EDM · BUF
CF%?
50.4%·49.6%
xGF%?
33.1%·66.9%
HDCF%?
28.1%·71.9%
5v5 xGF%?
33.0%·67.0%
5v5 CF%?
49.1%·50.9%
?
BUF wins ↑EDM wins ↓
EDM 23%Deserved to win?77% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.13 xG vs 3.67 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailableEDM 1@BUF 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-17 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNoah OstlundBUF · 2G · 0.28 ixG · 1 blk79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRasmus DahlinBUF · 2A · 0.07 ixG · 1 blk78
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBeck MalenstynBUF · 1G · 0.23 ixG · 2 blk71EDM
1
Leon Draisaitl662
Andrew Mangiapane633
Adam Henrique594
Jack Roslovic595
Evan Bouchard586
Brett Kulak577
Trent Frederic568
Darnell Nurse569
Mattias Ekholm5510
Vasily Podkolzin5411
Zach Hyman5412
Matt Savoie5413
Curtis Lazar5314
Jacob Bryson5215
Jake Walman5216
Noah Philp5217
Alec Regula5118
Mattias Janmark4519
Connor McDavid43
Leon Draisaitl662
Andrew Mangiapane633
Adam Henrique594
Jack Roslovic595
Evan Bouchard586
Brett Kulak577
Trent Frederic568
Darnell Nurse569
Mattias Ekholm5510
Vasily Podkolzin5411
Zach Hyman5412
Matt Savoie5413
Curtis Lazar5314
Jacob Bryson5215
Jake Walman5216
Noah Philp5217
Alec Regula5118
Mattias Janmark4519
Connor McDavid43Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 0 (7) | 1 (10) | 0 (16) | 1 |
| BUF | 1 (6) | 2 (13) | 2 (9) | 5 |
| EDM | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 20 | Hits | 13 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 37 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| EDM | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 5 |
| 2.97 | Expected goals | 6.00 |
| 2.49 | 5v5 xG | 5.05 |
| 0.48 | Power-play xG | 0.41 |
| 65 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 33 | On goal | 28 |
| 9 | High-danger | 23 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 13 | Missed | 19 |
| 19 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.046 | xG per attempt | 0.094 |
| 43 ft | Avg shot distance | 27 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG93 of 129 attempts shown















