Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Winnipeg Jets 4@Calgary Flames 3
2025-11-15WPG · CGY
CF%?
51.9%·48.1%
xGF%?
51.9%·48.1%
HDCF%?
50.0%·50.0%
5v5 xGF%?
57.6%·42.4%
5v5 CF%?
56.5%·43.5%
?
CGY wins ↑WPG wins ↓
WPG 44%Deserved to win?56% CGY
the game's chances, replayed · 2.78 xG vs 3.13 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
WPG 4@CGY 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-15 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickKyle ConnorWPG · 2A · 0.35 ixG · 1 tk80
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMatt CoronatoCGY · 1G · 1A · 0.66 ixG75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJosh MorrisseyWPG · 2A · 3 blk · 1 hits74WPG
1Kyle Connor802Josh Morrissey743
Cole Perfetti724
Mark Scheifele675
Jonathan Toews656
Logan Stanley637
Tanner Pearson618
Adam Lowry609
Dylan DeMelo5810
Luke Schenn5611
Parker Ford5512
Vladislav Namestnikov5313
Neal Pionk5314
Alex Iafallo5115
Dylan Samberg5016
Gustav Nyquist5017
Gabriel Vilardi5018
Nino Niederreiter50
Kyle Connor802Josh Morrissey743Cole Perfetti724Mark Scheifele675Jonathan Toews656Logan Stanley637Tanner Pearson618Adam Lowry609Dylan DeMelo5810Luke Schenn5611Parker Ford5512Vladislav Namestnikov5313Neal Pionk5314Alex Iafallo5115Dylan Samberg5016Gustav Nyquist5017Gabriel Vilardi5018Nino Niederreiter50Goalies
CGY
1Matt Coronato752
Morgan Frost673
Rasmus Andersson654
Brayden Pachal655
Kevin Bahl656
Blake Coleman657
Jake Bean638
Adam Klapka629
Jonathan Huberdeau5810
Ryan Lomberg5611
MacKenzie Weegar5512
Rory Kerins5313
Yan Kuznetsov5214
Joel Farabee5215
Nazem Kadri5116
Connor Zary5117
Mikael Backlund4818
Samuel Honzek48
Matt Coronato752Morgan Frost673Rasmus Andersson654Brayden Pachal655Kevin Bahl656Blake Coleman657Jake Bean638Adam Klapka629Jonathan Huberdeau5810Ryan Lomberg5611MacKenzie Weegar5512Rory Kerins5313Yan Kuznetsov5214Joel Farabee5215Nazem Kadri5116Connor Zary5117Mikael Backlund4818Samuel Honzek48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 0 (8) | 2 (10) | 1 (4) | 0 (1) | 4 |
| CGY | 0 (12) | 2 (10) | 1 (11) | 0 (1) | 3 |
| WPG | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/1 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 21 | Hits | 27 |
| 23 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 19 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| WPG | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.99 | Expected goals | 4.61 |
| 3.78 | 5v5 xG | 2.78 |
| 0.41 | Power-play xG | 1.53 |
| 68 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 23 | On goal | 34 |
| 18 | High-danger | 18 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 22 | Missed | 13 |
| 23 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.073 | xG per attempt | 0.073 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG92 of 131 attempts shown