Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 3@Florida Panthers 1
2025-11-15TBL · FLA
CF%?
39.8%·60.2%
xGF%?
50.7%·49.3%
HDCF%?
71.4%·28.6%
5v5 xGF%?
52.6%·47.4%
5v5 CF%?
45.6%·54.4%
?
FLA wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 56%Deserved to win?44% FLA
the game's chances, replayed · 2.64 xG vs 2.35 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 3@FLA 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-15 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJack FinleyTBL · 1G · 0.40 ixG · 3 hits72
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 1A · 0.48 ixG · 1 blk70
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBrad MarchandFLA · 1G · 0.33 ixG · 1 tk69TBL
1Jack Finley722Nikita Kucherov703
Scott Sabourin674
Curtis Douglas665
Zemgus Girgensons656
Yanni Gourde637
Emil Lilleberg608
Jake Guentzel589
Brayden Point5510
J.J. Moser5411
Max Crozier5412
Jakob Pelletier5313
Boris Katchouk5014
Darren Raddysh4915
Oliver Bjorkstrand4816
Gage Goncalves4717
Erik Cernak4618
Charle-Edouard D'Astous46
Jack Finley722Nikita Kucherov703Scott Sabourin674Curtis Douglas665Zemgus Girgensons656Yanni Gourde637Emil Lilleberg608Jake Guentzel589Brayden Point5510J.J. Moser5411Max Crozier5412Jakob Pelletier5313Boris Katchouk5014Darren Raddysh4915Oliver Bjorkstrand4816Gage Goncalves4717Erik Cernak4618Charle-Edouard D'Astous46Goalies
FLA
1Brad Marchand692
Anton Lundell633
Sam Reinhart604
Mackie Samoskevich565
Niko Mikkola556
A.J. Greer557
Eetu Luostarinen558
Cole Schwindt539
Carter Verhaeghe5310
Evan Rodrigues5211
Seth Jones5212
Luke Kunin5213
Jeff Petry5114
Donovan Sebrango5115
Jesper Boqvist5016
Aaron Ekblad4917
Gustav Forsling4718
Sam Bennett47
Brad Marchand692Anton Lundell633Sam Reinhart604Mackie Samoskevich565Niko Mikkola556A.J. Greer557Eetu Luostarinen558Cole Schwindt539Carter Verhaeghe5310Evan Rodrigues5211Seth Jones5212Luke Kunin5213Jeff Petry5114Donovan Sebrango5115Jesper Boqvist5016Aaron Ekblad4917Gustav Forsling4718Sam Bennett47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 1 (10) | 0 (7) | 2 (3) | 3 |
| FLA | 0 (6) | 1 (7) | 0 (10) | 1 |
| TBL | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/7 | Power play | 1/7 |
| 27 | Hits | 25 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 25 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| TBL | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 1 |
| 3.83 | Expected goals | 3.73 |
| 2.28 | 5v5 xG | 2.05 |
| 0.71 | Power-play xG | 1.61 |
| 41 | Shot attempts | 62 |
| 20 | On goal | 23 |
| 15 | High-danger | 6 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 0 |
| 14 | Missed | 24 |
| 7 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.094 | xG per attempt | 0.060 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 36 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG81 of 103 attempts shown