Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Washington Capitals 4@Carolina Hurricanes 1
2025-11-11WSH · CAR
CF%?
41.2%·58.8%
xGF%?
44.2%·55.8%
HDCF%?
47.2%·52.8%
5v5 xGF%?
36.2%·63.8%
5v5 CF%?
37.5%·62.5%
?
CAR wins ↑WSH wins ↓
WSH 28%Deserved to win?72% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.58 xG vs 3.89 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
WSH 4@CAR 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-11 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickLogan ThompsonWSH · 30 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +2.6992
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAlex OvechkinWSH · 1G · 1A · 0.65 ixG75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBrandon DuhaimeWSH · 1G · 0.09 ixG · 7 blk73WSH
1Alex Ovechkin752Brandon Duhaime733
Ryan Leonard734
Ethen Frank695
John Carlson696
Dylan Strome667
Jakob Chychrun668
Anthony Beauvillier659
Nic Dowd6010
Tom Wilson5711
Hendrix Lapierre5412
Connor McMichael5413
Martin Fehérváry5014
Matt Roy4915
Aliaksei Protas4716
Declan Chisholm4617
Rasmus Sandin40
Alex Ovechkin752Brandon Duhaime733Ryan Leonard734Ethen Frank695John Carlson696Dylan Strome667Jakob Chychrun668Anthony Beauvillier659Nic Dowd6010Tom Wilson5711Hendrix Lapierre5412Connor McMichael5413Martin Fehérváry5014Matt Roy4915Aliaksei Protas4716Declan Chisholm4617Rasmus Sandin40Goalies
CAR
1
Jackson Blake682
Andrei Svechnikov623
Alexander Nikishin604
Nikolaj Ehlers605
Jordan Staal596
Shayne Gostisbehere577
K'Andre Miller558
Jesperi Kotkaniemi559
Jordan Martinook5510
Eric Robinson5311
Logan Stankoven5212
Seth Jarvis5213
Joel Nystrom5214
Mike Reilly5115
William Carrier5116
Justin Sourdif5017
Taylor Hall4918
Sean Walker4919
Sebastian Aho47
Jackson Blake682Andrei Svechnikov623Alexander Nikishin604Nikolaj Ehlers605Jordan Staal596Shayne Gostisbehere577K'Andre Miller558Jesperi Kotkaniemi559Jordan Martinook5510Eric Robinson5311Logan Stankoven5212Seth Jarvis5213Joel Nystrom5214Mike Reilly5115William Carrier5116Justin Sourdif5017Taylor Hall4918Sean Walker4919Sebastian Aho47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 1 (10) | 1 (8) | 2 (10) | 4 |
| CAR | 0 (7) | 1 (14) | 0 (10) | 1 |
| WSH | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | Power play | 0/7 |
| 13 | Hits | 22 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 22 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 24 | Giveaways | 20 |
| 23 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| WSH | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 1 |
| 4.57 | Expected goals | 5.77 |
| 2.13 | 5v5 xG | 3.76 |
| 1.77 | Power-play xG | 1.93 |
| 49 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 28 | On goal | 31 |
| 17 | High-danger | 19 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 11 | Missed | 17 |
| 10 | Blocked | 22 |
| 0.093 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG87 of 119 attempts shown