Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 3@Carolina Hurricanes 6
2025-11-08BUF · CAR
CF%?
41.0%·59.0%
xGF%?
35.8%·64.2%
HDCF%?
44.8%·55.2%
5v5 xGF%?
49.6%·50.4%
5v5 CF%?
42.6%·57.4%
?
CAR wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 41%Deserved to win?59% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.52 xG vs 2.99 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 3@CAR 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-08 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickSebastian AhoCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.58 ixG90
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickCharles Alexis LegaultCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.68 ixG80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAndrei SvechnikovCAR · 1G · 1A · 0.26 ixG80BUF
1
Alex Tuch772
Tage Thompson763
Owen Power674
Ryan McLeod635
Tyson Kozak626
Noah Ostlund627
Jordan Greenway578
Mattias Samuelsson559
Josh Doan5510
Jack Quinn5411
Peyton Krebs5312
Isak Rosen5213
Josh Dunne5214
Bowen Byram5015
Beck Malenstyn4916
Jacob Bryson4817
Conor Timmins4318
Michael Kesselring43
Alex Tuch772Tage Thompson763Owen Power674Ryan McLeod635Tyson Kozak626Noah Ostlund627Jordan Greenway578Mattias Samuelsson559Josh Doan5510Jack Quinn5411Peyton Krebs5312Isak Rosen5213Josh Dunne5214Bowen Byram5015Beck Malenstyn4916Jacob Bryson4817Conor Timmins4318Michael Kesselring43Goalies
CAR
1Sebastian Aho902Charles Alexis Legault803Andrei Svechnikov804
Jesperi Kotkaniemi805
Jordan Staal706
Eric Robinson697
Seth Jarvis668
Taylor Hall639
Joel Nystrom6110
K'Andre Miller5911
Nikolaj Ehlers5912
William Carrier5413
Sean Walker5214
Logan Stankoven5215
Jackson Blake5016
Jordan Martinook5017
Alexander Nikishin4918
Mike Reilly46
Sebastian Aho902Charles Alexis Legault803Andrei Svechnikov804Jesperi Kotkaniemi805Jordan Staal706Eric Robinson697Seth Jarvis668Taylor Hall639Joel Nystrom6110K'Andre Miller5911Nikolaj Ehlers5912William Carrier5413Sean Walker5214Logan Stankoven5215Jackson Blake5016Jordan Martinook5017Alexander Nikishin4918Mike Reilly46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (6) | 0 (5) | 2 (11) | 3 |
| CAR | 1 (10) | 2 (15) | 3 (10) | 6 |
| BUF | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 21 | Hits | 25 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 25 | Giveaways | 24 |
| 31 | Faceoff wins | 33 |
| BUF | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 6 |
| 3.98 | Expected goals | 7.14 |
| 3.25 | 5v5 xG | 3.30 |
| 0.11 | Power-play xG | 1.17 |
| 50 | Shot attempts | 72 |
| 22 | On goal | 35 |
| 13 | High-danger | 16 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 13 | Missed | 18 |
| 15 | Blocked | 19 |
| 0.080 | xG per attempt | 0.099 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 37 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG88 of 122 attempts shown