Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Washington Capitals 2@Tampa Bay Lightning 3
2025-11-08WSH · TBL
CF%?
58.7%·41.3%
xGF%?
49.7%·50.3%
HDCF%?
36.4%·63.6%
5v5 xGF%?
49.0%·51.0%
5v5 CF%?
58.5%·41.5%
?
TBL wins ↑WSH wins ↓
WSH 64%Deserved to win?36% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.40 xG vs 1.75 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
WSH 2@TBL 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-08 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.14 ixG78
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.41 ixG76
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickCharle-Edouard D'AstousTBL · 2A · 0.02 ixG · 2 tk74WSH
1
John Carlson682
Nic Dowd653
Brandon Duhaime644
Ethen Frank615
Matt Roy586
Aliaksei Protas577
Justin Sourdif548
Rasmus Sandin549
Alex Ovechkin5410
Ryan Leonard5311
Jakob Chychrun5312
Dylan Strome5313
Martin Fehérváry5214
Tom Wilson5215
Connor McMichael5216
Ryan McDonagh52
John Carlson682Nic Dowd653Brandon Duhaime644Ethen Frank615Matt Roy586Aliaksei Protas577Justin Sourdif548Rasmus Sandin549Alex Ovechkin5410Ryan Leonard5311Jakob Chychrun5312Dylan Strome5313Martin Fehérváry5214Tom Wilson5215Connor McMichael5216Ryan McDonagh52Goalies
TBL
1Jake Guentzel782Brandon Hagel763Charle-Edouard D'Astous744
Victor Hedman645
Dominic James626
Emil Lilleberg617
Oliver Bjorkstrand568
Zemgus Girgensons559
Gage Goncalves5510
Trevor van Riemsdyk5411
Erik Cernak5312
Brayden Point5313
Jack Finley5214
Nikita Kucherov5215
Pontus Holmberg5116
Yanni Gourde5017
J.J. Moser5018
Darren Raddysh50
Jake Guentzel782Brandon Hagel763Charle-Edouard D'Astous744Victor Hedman645Dominic James626Emil Lilleberg617Oliver Bjorkstrand568Zemgus Girgensons559Gage Goncalves5510Trevor van Riemsdyk5411Erik Cernak5312Brayden Point5313Jack Finley5214Nikita Kucherov5215Pontus Holmberg5116Yanni Gourde5017J.J. Moser5018Darren Raddysh50Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 1 (13) | 1 (10) | 0 (8) | 2 |
| TBL | 2 (8) | 0 (8) | 1 (4) | 3 |
| WSH | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/5 |
| 19 | Hits | 20 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 29 | Faceoff wins | 23 |
| WSH | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 3 |
| 3.11 | Expected goals | 3.15 |
| 2.73 | 5v5 xG | 2.84 |
| 0.07 | Power-play xG | 0.30 |
| 61 | Shot attempts | 43 |
| 31 | On goal | 20 |
| 8 | High-danger | 14 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 0 |
| 19 | Missed | 9 |
| 11 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.051 | xG per attempt | 0.073 |
| 37 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 104 attempts shown