Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Utah Mammoth 2@Buffalo Sabres 1
2025-11-04UTA · BUF
CF%?
68.7%·31.3%
xGF%?
70.7%·29.3%
HDCF%?
73.2%·26.8%
5v5 xGF%?
68.2%·31.8%
5v5 CF%?
67.0%·33.0%
?
BUF wins ↑UTA wins ↓
UTA 87%Deserved to win?13% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.93 xG vs 1.65 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
UTA 2@BUF 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-04 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAlex LyonBUF · 33 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +2.1486
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickClayton KellerUTA · 1G · 1A · 0.70 ixG84
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNick SchmaltzUTA · 1G · 0.28 ixG · 2 blk73UTA
1Clayton Keller842Nick Schmaltz733
Jack McBain674
John Marino665
Mikhail Sergachev656
Barrett Hayton647
Nate Schmidt618
Michael Carcone589
Logan Cooley5710
Kailer Yamamoto5611
JJ Peterka5512
Kevin Stenlund5413
Dmitri Simashev5314
Lawson Crouse5315
Dylan Guenther5316
Ian Cole5217
Olli Maatta5118
Brandon Tanev48
Clayton Keller842Nick Schmaltz733Jack McBain674John Marino665Mikhail Sergachev656Barrett Hayton647Nate Schmidt618Michael Carcone589Logan Cooley5710Kailer Yamamoto5611JJ Peterka5512Kevin Stenlund5413Dmitri Simashev5314Lawson Crouse5315Dylan Guenther5316Ian Cole5217Olli Maatta5118Brandon Tanev48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 0 (7) | 0 (15) | 1 (12) | 1 (1) | 2 |
| BUF | 0 (9) | 0 (5) | 1 (3) | 0 (1) | 1 |
| UTA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 15 | Hits | 20 |
| 25 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 20 |
| UTA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 1 |
| 6.53 | Expected goals | 2.71 |
| 4.91 | 5v5 xG | 2.29 |
| 1.38 | Power-play xG | 0.21 |
| 79 | Shot attempts | 36 |
| 35 | On goal | 18 |
| 30 | High-danger | 11 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 19 | Missed | 9 |
| 25 | Blocked | 9 |
| 0.083 | xG per attempt | 0.075 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG81 of 115 attempts shown