Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 4@Utah Mammoth 2
2025-11-02TBL · UTA
CF%?
49.5%·50.5%
xGF%?
58.3%·41.7%
HDCF%?
47.6%·52.4%
5v5 xGF%?
41.1%·58.9%
5v5 CF%?
49.4%·50.6%
?
UTA wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 41%Deserved to win?59% UTA
the game's chances, replayed · 2.24 xG vs 2.67 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 4@UTA 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-02 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 1G · 1.58 ixG · 1 blk79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.12 ixG79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickKailer YamamotoUTA · 1G · 0.54 ixG · 1 blk77TBL
1Brandon Hagel792Jake Guentzel793
Yanni Gourde654
Emil Lilleberg645
Anthony Cirelli626
Ryan McDonagh627
Brayden Point628
Zemgus Girgensons609
Dominic James5510
J.J. Moser5411
Erik Cernak5412
Nikita Kucherov5313
Victor Hedman5114
Gage Goncalves5115
Curtis Douglas5016
Oliver Bjorkstrand4717
Pontus Holmberg4418
Charle-Edouard D'Astous44
Brandon Hagel792Jake Guentzel793Yanni Gourde654Emil Lilleberg645Anthony Cirelli626Ryan McDonagh627Brayden Point628Zemgus Girgensons609Dominic James5510J.J. Moser5411Erik Cernak5412Nikita Kucherov5313Victor Hedman5114Gage Goncalves5115Curtis Douglas5016Oliver Bjorkstrand4717Pontus Holmberg4418Charle-Edouard D'Astous44Goalies
UTA
1Kailer Yamamoto772
Ian Cole773
Lawson Crouse734
Mikhail Sergachev575
Kevin Stenlund576
Olli Maatta567
Michael Carcone558
Barrett Hayton559
Brandon Tanev5510
Nick Schmaltz5311
John Marino5312
Jack McBain5213
JJ Peterka5214
Dmitri Simashev5115
Dylan Guenther5116
Nate Schmidt5017
Logan Cooley5018
Clayton Keller47
Kailer Yamamoto772Ian Cole773Lawson Crouse734Mikhail Sergachev575Kevin Stenlund576Olli Maatta567Michael Carcone558Barrett Hayton559Brandon Tanev5510Nick Schmaltz5311John Marino5312Jack McBain5213JJ Peterka5214Dmitri Simashev5115Dylan Guenther5116Nate Schmidt5017Logan Cooley5018Clayton Keller47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 1 (9) | 1 (10) | 2 (7) | 4 |
| UTA | 1 (6) | 0 (9) | 1 (12) | 2 |
| TBL | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 16 | Hits | 19 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 27 | Faceoff wins | 34 |
| TBL | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 2 |
| 5.50 | Expected goals | 3.94 |
| 1.99 | 5v5 xG | 2.85 |
| 0.73 | Power-play xG | 0.75 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 26 | On goal | 27 |
| 10 | High-danger | 11 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 12 | Missed | 11 |
| 14 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.106 | xG per attempt | 0.074 |
| 36 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG76 of 105 attempts shown