Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Washington Capitals 3@Buffalo Sabres 4
2025-11-01WSH · BUF
CF%?
55.5%·44.5%
xGF%?
52.5%·47.5%
HDCF%?
51.6%·48.4%
5v5 xGF%?
51.0%·49.0%
5v5 CF%?
56.8%·43.2%
?
BUF wins ↑WSH wins ↓
WSH 57%Deserved to win?43% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.27 xG vs 2.87 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
WSH 3@BUF 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-11-01 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAliaksei ProtasWSH · 1G · 0.35 ixG · 2 blk71
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 0.63 ixG · 2 blk71
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMatt RoyWSH · 1A · 0.08 ixG · 4 blk70WSH
1Aliaksei Protas712Matt Roy703
Dylan Strome704
Sonny Milano675
Connor McMichael646
Martin Fehérváry637
Tom Wilson598
Jakob Chychrun599
Nic Dowd5910
John Carlson5711
Justin Sourdif5412
Anthony Beauvillier5313
Ryan Leonard5314
Alex Ovechkin5215
Brandon Duhaime5216
Hendrix Lapierre5117
Trevor van Riemsdyk5118
Declan Chisholm48
Aliaksei Protas712Matt Roy703Dylan Strome704Sonny Milano675Connor McMichael646Martin Fehérváry637Tom Wilson598Jakob Chychrun599Nic Dowd5910John Carlson5711Justin Sourdif5412Anthony Beauvillier5313Ryan Leonard5314Alex Ovechkin5215Brandon Duhaime5216Hendrix Lapierre5117Trevor van Riemsdyk5118Declan Chisholm48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 2 (9) | 1 (15) | 0 (5) | 0 (5) | 3 |
| BUF | 3 (10) | 0 (7) | 0 (6) | 0 (1) | 4 |
| WSH | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/7 | Power play | 0/6 |
| 17 | Hits | 22 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 27 | Faceoff wins | 25 |
| WSH | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.61 | Expected goals | 4.18 |
| 2.72 | 5v5 xG | 2.62 |
| 0.63 | Power-play xG | 1.33 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 34 | On goal | 24 |
| 16 | High-danger | 15 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 0 |
| 16 | Missed | 16 |
| 16 | Blocked | 13 |
| 0.070 | xG per attempt | 0.079 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG90 of 119 attempts shown