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Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Utah Mammoth 3@Edmonton Oilers 6

2025-10-28
UTA · EDM

CF%?

51.0%·49.0%

xGF%?

52.4%·47.6%

HDCF%?

57.1%·42.9%

5v5 xGF%?

52.9%·47.1%

5v5 CF%?

49.5%·50.5%

?
EDM wins ↑UTA wins ↓
UTA 61%Deserved to win?39% EDM

the game's chances, replayed · 2.98 xG vs 2.42 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable

UTA 3@EDM 6

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2025-10-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickConnor McDavidEDM · 2G · 0.76 ixG · 1 gv80★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJake WalmanEDM · 2A · 0.05 ixG · 4 blk77★ 3rd star · our model’s pickLeon DraisaitlEDM · 1G · 1A · 0.28 ixG76

UTA

1Logan Cooley702Dylan Guenther693JJ Peterka674Nick Schmaltz645Barrett Hayton626Lawson Crouse607Mikhail Sergachev608Kevin Stenlund599Nate Schmidt5610Vasily Podkolzin5511Brandon Tanev5412Ian Cole5313Jack McBain5314Clayton Keller5215Dmitri Simashev5216John Marino5117Liam O'Brien5018Michael Carcone50

Goalies

1Karel Vejmelka40

EDM

1Connor McDavid802Jake Walman773Leon Draisaitl764Adam Henrique765Ty Emberson746Evan Bouchard737Ryan Nugent-Hopkins698Mattias Ekholm659Isaac Howard6210Jack Roslovic5611Darnell Nurse5612David Tomasek5513Andrew Mangiapane5414Trent Frederic5215Brett Kulak4916Troy Stecher4717Matt Savoie46

Goalies

1Stuart Skinner52
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

9:25UTA

Logan Cooley from Dylan Guenther

17:45UTA

JJ Peterka

Period 2

0:22EDM

Mattias Ekholm from Leon Draisaitl, Evan Bouchard

3:13EDM

Isaac Howard from Adam Henrique

8:19UTA

Barrett Hayton from Nick Schmaltz, Mikhail Sergachev

13:33EDM

Leon Draisaitl from Jake Walman, Evan Bouchard

14:10EDM

Ty Emberson from Adam Henrique, Mattias Ekholm

17:56EDM

Connor McDavid from Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Jake Walman

Period 3

17:34EDM

Connor McDavid from Evan Bouchard

EN
Goals (SOG)123T
UTA2 (9)1 (5)0 (9)3
EDM0 (3)5 (15)1 (6)6
UTAEDM
0/2Power play0/1
17Hits19
15Blocked shots15
6Takeaways6
12Giveaways16
22Faceoff wins30
UTAEDM
3Goals6
4.68Expected goals4.25
3.765v5 xG3.36
0.92Power-play xG0.49
53Shot attempts51
23On goal24
20High-danger15
3Rebound chances3
15Missed12
15Blocked15
0.088xG per attempt0.083
26 ftAvg shot distance29 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

UTA attackingEDM attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG74 of 104 attempts shown