Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 5@Nashville Predators 2
TBL · NSH
CF%?
53.8%·46.2%
xGF%?
62.9%·37.1%
HDCF%?
60.9%·39.1%
5v5 xGF%?
69.8%·30.2%
5v5 CF%?
63.8%·36.2%
?
NSH wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 76%Deserved to win?24% NSH
the game's chances, replayed · 3.24 xG vs 1.84 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailableTBL 5@NSH 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickPontus HolmbergTBL · 2A · 0.54 ixG · 2 blk86
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.90 ixG83
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.78 ixG79TBL
1
Pontus Holmberg862
Brandon Hagel833
Nikita Kucherov794
Anthony Cirelli795
Zemgus Girgensons786
Charle-Edouard D'Astous697
Yanni Gourde638
Erik Cernak589
Victor Hedman5710
Tyson Jost5511
Gage Goncalves5412
Brayden Point5313
J.J. Moser5314
Dominic James5315
Ryan McDonagh5316
Jake Guentzel5217
Oliver Bjorkstrand5218
Curtis Douglas5219
Emil Lilleberg51
Pontus Holmberg862
Brandon Hagel833
Nikita Kucherov794
Anthony Cirelli795
Zemgus Girgensons786
Charle-Edouard D'Astous697
Yanni Gourde638
Erik Cernak589
Victor Hedman5710
Tyson Jost5511
Gage Goncalves5412
Brayden Point5313
J.J. Moser5314
Dominic James5315
Ryan McDonagh5316
Jake Guentzel5217
Oliver Bjorkstrand5218
Curtis Douglas5219
Emil Lilleberg51Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 1 (13) | 1 (13) | 3 (6) | 5 |
| NSH | 0 (8) | 0 (3) | 2 (9) | 2 |
| TBL | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/6 | Power play | 2/5 |
| 16 | Hits | 24 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 20 | Faceoff wins | 39 |
| TBL | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 2 |
| 5.34 | Expected goals | 3.15 |
| 2.76 | 5v5 xG | 1.19 |
| 0.63 | Power-play xG | 1.89 |
| 50 | Shot attempts | 43 |
| 32 | On goal | 20 |
| 14 | High-danger | 9 |
| 6 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 13 | Missed | 6 |
| 5 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.107 | xG per attempt | 0.073 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG71 of 93 attempts shown


















