Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 3@Toronto Maple Leafs 4
2025-10-25BUF · TOR
CF%?
52.3%·47.7%
xGF%?
56.5%·43.5%
HDCF%?
50.0%·50.0%
5v5 xGF%?
55.4%·44.6%
5v5 CF%?
50.6%·49.4%
?
TOR wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 51%Deserved to win?49% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.27 xG vs 2.22 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 3@TOR 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-25 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJohn TavaresTOR · 1G · 1A · 0.72 ixG87
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 2G · 0.50 ixG · 1 blk83
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMatthew KniesTOR · 2A · 0.18 ixG · 1 hits74BUF
1Tage Thompson832
Jiri Kulich693
Conor Timmins674
Bowen Byram625
Jason Zucker626
Mattias Samuelsson627
Beck Malenstyn598
Peyton Krebs589
Rasmus Dahlin5810
Jack Quinn5711
Noah Ostlund5512
Ryan McLeod5513
Zach Benson5514
Josh Dunne5315
Josh Doan5116
Alex Tuch5017
Owen Power49
Tage Thompson832Jiri Kulich693Conor Timmins674Bowen Byram625Jason Zucker626Mattias Samuelsson627Beck Malenstyn598Peyton Krebs589Rasmus Dahlin5810Jack Quinn5711Noah Ostlund5512Ryan McLeod5513Zach Benson5514Josh Dunne5315Josh Doan5116Alex Tuch5017Owen Power49Goalies
TOR
1John Tavares872Matthew Knies743
Jake McCabe734
Auston Matthews695
Matias Maccelli676
Dakota Joshua667
Nicholas Robertson658
Easton Cowan639
Nicolas Roy6210
Brandon Carlo5711
Max Domi5512
Philippe Myers5513
Calle Jarnkrok5214
Steven Lorentz5115
Bobby McMann5016
Oliver Ekman-Larsson4817
Morgan Rielly4618
Simon Benoit45
John Tavares872Matthew Knies743Jake McCabe734Auston Matthews695Matias Maccelli676Dakota Joshua667Nicholas Robertson658Easton Cowan639Nicolas Roy6210Brandon Carlo5711Max Domi5512Philippe Myers5513Calle Jarnkrok5214Steven Lorentz5115Bobby McMann5016Oliver Ekman-Larsson4817Morgan Rielly4618Simon Benoit45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (12) | 1 (6) | 1 (7) | 0 (1) | 3 |
| TOR | 1 (6) | 1 (11) | 1 (5) | 1 (1) | 4 |
| BUF | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 20 | Hits | 25 |
| 21 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 9 |
| 19 | Faceoff wins | 38 |
| BUF | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.58 | Expected goals | 3.53 |
| 2.69 | 5v5 xG | 2.17 |
| 1.58 | Power-play xG | 1.06 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 51 |
| 26 | On goal | 23 |
| 18 | High-danger | 18 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 9 | Missed | 13 |
| 21 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.082 | xG per attempt | 0.069 |
| 28 ft | Avg shot distance | 35 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG71 of 107 attempts shown