Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 3@Buffalo Sabres 5
2025-10-24TOR · BUF
CF%?
53.5%·46.5%
xGF%?
56.7%·43.3%
HDCF%?
61.9%·38.1%
5v5 xGF%?
54.8%·45.2%
5v5 CF%?
51.0%·49.0%
?
BUF wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 59%Deserved to win?41% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.98 xG vs 2.50 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 3@BUF 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-24 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAlex TuchBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.19 ixG86
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMattias SamuelssonBUF · 2G · 0.21 ixG · 4 blk82
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.33 ixG79TOR
1
Auston Matthews752
Oliver Ekman-Larsson733
Dakota Joshua724
Nicolas Roy715
William Nylander666
John Tavares657
Easton Cowan638
Matthew Knies609
Brandon Carlo5910
Philippe Myers5611
Jake McCabe5512
Simon Benoit5513
Steven Lorentz5414
Max Domi5415
Matias Maccelli5116
Bobby McMann5017
Dakota Mermis5018
Calle Jarnkrok48
Auston Matthews752Oliver Ekman-Larsson733Dakota Joshua724Nicolas Roy715William Nylander666John Tavares657Easton Cowan638Matthew Knies609Brandon Carlo5910Philippe Myers5611Jake McCabe5512Simon Benoit5513Steven Lorentz5414Max Domi5415Matias Maccelli5116Bobby McMann5017Dakota Mermis5018Calle Jarnkrok48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 2 (9) | 0 (11) | 1 (14) | 3 |
| BUF | 2 (12) | 2 (9) | 1 (9) | 5 |
| TOR | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 30 | Hits | 8 |
| 23 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 35 | Faceoff wins | 25 |
| TOR | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 5 |
| 5.40 | Expected goals | 4.13 |
| 3.32 | 5v5 xG | 2.74 |
| 2.03 | Power-play xG | 0.97 |
| 68 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 34 | On goal | 30 |
| 26 | High-danger | 16 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 11 | Missed | 15 |
| 23 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.079 | xG per attempt | 0.070 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG90 of 127 attempts shown