Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 2@Montréal Canadiens 4
2025-10-20BUF · MTL
CF%?
55.3%·44.7%
xGF%?
51.7%·48.3%
HDCF%?
55.3%·44.7%
5v5 xGF%?
53.0%·47.0%
5v5 CF%?
52.7%·47.3%
?
MTL wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 69%Deserved to win?31% MTL
the game's chances, replayed · 4.21 xG vs 3.04 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
BUF 2@MTL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-20 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJakub DobesMTL · 30 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +2.0684
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJake EvansMTL · 1G · 0.90 ixG · 2 blk78
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex NewhookMTL · 2A · 0.00 ixG · 2 blk75BUF
1
Tyson Kozak692
Jiri Kulich663
Zach Benson634
Jack Quinn605
Rasmus Dahlin596
Tage Thompson577
Peyton Krebs568
Ryan McLeod569
Owen Power5610
Mattias Samuelsson5511
Josh Doan5512
Bowen Byram5513
Josh Dunne5314
Zach Metsa5215
Jason Zucker5116
Alex Tuch5017
Conor Timmins49
Tyson Kozak692Jiri Kulich663Zach Benson634Jack Quinn605Rasmus Dahlin596Tage Thompson577Peyton Krebs568Ryan McLeod569Owen Power5610Mattias Samuelsson5511Josh Doan5512Bowen Byram5513Josh Dunne5314Zach Metsa5215Jason Zucker5116Alex Tuch5017Conor Timmins49Goalies
MTL
1Jake Evans782Alex Newhook753
Nick Suzuki744
Juraj Slafkovský705
Noah Dobson656
Lane Hutson617
Oliver Kapanen618
Alexandre Carrier609
Ivan Demidov5910
Mike Matheson5911
Josh Anderson5812
Jayden Struble5713
Brendan Gallagher5614
Cole Caufield5615
Zachary Bolduc5416
Owen Beck5317
Joe Veleno5218
Arber Xhekaj51
Jake Evans782Alex Newhook753Nick Suzuki744Juraj Slafkovský705Noah Dobson656Lane Hutson617Oliver Kapanen618Alexandre Carrier609Ivan Demidov5910Mike Matheson5911Josh Anderson5812Jayden Struble5713Brendan Gallagher5614Cole Caufield5615Zachary Bolduc5416Owen Beck5317Joe Veleno5218Arber Xhekaj51Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 0 (6) | 1 (11) | 1 (15) | 2 |
| MTL | 1 (14) | 0 (4) | 3 (14) | 4 |
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 15 | Hits | 22 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 24 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 4 |
| 6.20 | Expected goals | 5.79 |
| 4.72 | 5v5 xG | 4.19 |
| 1.36 | Power-play xG | 0.25 |
| 73 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 32 | On goal | 32 |
| 21 | High-danger | 17 |
| 8 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 19 | Missed | 15 |
| 22 | Blocked | 12 |
| 0.085 | xG per attempt | 0.098 |
| 26 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG98 of 132 attempts shown