Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 2@Columbus Blue Jackets 3
TBL · CBJ
CF%?
49.6%·50.4%
xGF%?
54.3%·45.7%
HDCF%?
50.0%·50.0%
5v5 xGF%?
38.7%·61.3%
5v5 CF%?
42.9%·57.1%
?
CBJ wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 62%Deserved to win?38% CBJ
the game's chances, replayed · 3.26 xG vs 2.63 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailableTBL 2@CBJ 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-18 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJake GuentzelTBL · 1A · 1.15 ixG · 3 FOW74
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickPontus HolmbergTBL · 1A · 0.13 ixG · 2 blk71
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMathieu OlivierCBJ · 1A · 0.13 ixG · 4 blk70TBL
1
Jake Guentzel742
Pontus Holmberg713
Anthony Cirelli704
Victor Hedman615
Brandon Hagel616
Jack Finley567
Erik Cernak568
Ryan McDonagh549
Curtis Douglas5210
Emil Lilleberg5211
Brayden Point5212
Yanni Gourde5113
J.J. Moser5114
Oliver Bjorkstrand4915
Darren Raddysh4916
Conor Geekie47
Jake Guentzel742
Pontus Holmberg713
Anthony Cirelli704
Victor Hedman615
Brandon Hagel616
Jack Finley567
Erik Cernak568
Ryan McDonagh549
Curtis Douglas5210
Emil Lilleberg5211
Brayden Point5212
Yanni Gourde5113
J.J. Moser5114
Oliver Bjorkstrand4915
Darren Raddysh4916
Conor Geekie47Goalies
CBJ
1
Mathieu Olivier702
Boone Jenner683
Kirill Marchenko684
Damon Severson645
Charlie Coyle616
Kent Johnson607
Adam Fantilli598
Dmitri Voronkov599
Denton Mateychuk5810
Egor Chinakhov5611
Ivan Provorov5612
Zach Werenski5513
Zachary Aston-Reese5414
Sean Monahan5315
Cole Sillinger5316
Isac Lundeström5117
Jake Christiansen5018
Mitchell Chaffee4919
Dante Fabbro49
Mathieu Olivier702
Boone Jenner683
Kirill Marchenko684
Damon Severson645
Charlie Coyle616
Kent Johnson607
Adam Fantilli598
Dmitri Voronkov599
Denton Mateychuk5810
Egor Chinakhov5611
Ivan Provorov5612
Zach Werenski5513
Zachary Aston-Reese5414
Sean Monahan5315
Cole Sillinger5316
Isac Lundeström5117
Jake Christiansen5018
Mitchell Chaffee4919
Dante Fabbro49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 2 (6) | 0 (3) | 0 (15) | 2 |
| CBJ | 1 (11) | 1 (14) | 1 (6) | 3 |
| TBL | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | Power play | 0/6 |
| 14 | Hits | 23 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 3 |
| 21 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 27 | Faceoff wins | 36 |
| TBL | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.76 | Expected goals | 4.01 |
| 2.15 | 5v5 xG | 3.41 |
| 2.57 | Power-play xG | 0.50 |
| 62 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 24 | On goal | 31 |
| 17 | High-danger | 17 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 19 | Missed | 16 |
| 19 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.077 | xG per attempt | 0.064 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG90 of 125 attempts shown

