Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Florida Panthers 0@Buffalo Sabres 3
2025-10-18FLA · BUF
CF%?
55.3%·44.7%
xGF%?
58.5%·41.5%
HDCF%?
59.4%·40.6%
5v5 xGF%?
48.0%·52.0%
5v5 CF%?
47.4%·52.6%
?
BUF wins ↑FLA wins ↓
FLA 62%Deserved to win?38% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.34 xG vs 2.64 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
FLA 0@BUF 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-18 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAlex LyonBUF · 32 sv · 0 GA · GSAx +3.1398
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJosh DoanBUF · 2G · 0.41 ixG · 2 hits79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex TuchBUF · 1A · 0.15 ixG · 1 tk66FLA
1
Evan Rodrigues612
Mackie Samoskevich613
Sam Reinhart604
Aaron Ekblad605
Sam Bennett596
Seth Jones577
Uvis Balinskis578
Beck Malenstyn579
Jesper Boqvist5610
Luke Kunin5511
Eetu Luostarinen5312
Carter Verhaeghe5213
A.J. Greer5114
Jeff Petry5115
Jonah Gadjovich5016
Gustav Forsling4917
Brad Marchand4718
Anton Lundell46
Evan Rodrigues612Mackie Samoskevich613Sam Reinhart604Aaron Ekblad605Sam Bennett596Seth Jones577Uvis Balinskis578Beck Malenstyn579Jesper Boqvist5610Luke Kunin5511Eetu Luostarinen5312Carter Verhaeghe5213A.J. Greer5114Jeff Petry5115Jonah Gadjovich5016Gustav Forsling4917Brad Marchand4718Anton Lundell46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 0 (12) | 0 (10) | 0 (10) | 0 |
| BUF | 1 (8) | 2 (13) | 0 (10) | 3 |
| FLA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/9 | Power play | 2/6 |
| 29 | Hits | 23 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 32 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| FLA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Goals | 3 |
| 5.56 | Expected goals | 3.94 |
| 2.83 | 5v5 xG | 3.07 |
| 2.71 | Power-play xG | 0.66 |
| 78 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 32 | On goal | 31 |
| 19 | High-danger | 13 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 24 | Missed | 15 |
| 22 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.071 | xG per attempt | 0.063 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG102 of 141 attempts shown