Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 4@Buffalo Sabres 8
2025-10-15OTT · BUF
CF%?
65.0%·35.0%
xGF%?
57.1%·42.9%
HDCF%?
61.4%·38.6%
5v5 xGF%?
66.4%·33.6%
5v5 CF%?
66.7%·33.3%
?
BUF wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 72%Deserved to win?28% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.73 xG vs 2.43 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
OTT 4@BUF 8
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-15 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickZach BensonBUF · 4A · 0.13 ixG · 1 blk92
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRyan McLeodBUF · 2G · 0.38 ixG · 6 FOW82
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex TuchBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.48 ixG81
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 1 (8) | 1 (17) | 2 (12) | 4 |
| BUF | 1 (3) | 4 (20) | 3 (4) | 8 |
| OTT | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | Power play | 3/5 |
| 21 | Hits | 28 |
| 26 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 37 | Faceoff wins | 20 |
| OTT | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 8 |
| 6.77 | Expected goals | 5.08 |
| 4.66 | 5v5 xG | 2.36 |
| 2.04 | Power-play xG | 0.54 |
| 78 | Shot attempts | 42 |
| 37 | On goal | 27 |
| 27 | High-danger | 17 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 15 | Missed | 5 |
| 26 | Blocked | 10 |
| 0.087 | xG per attempt | 0.121 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG84 of 120 attempts shown