Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 2@Washington Capitals 3
2025-10-14TBL · WSH
CF%?
36.6%·63.4%
xGF%?
36.3%·63.7%
HDCF%?
33.3%·66.7%
5v5 xGF%?
45.4%·54.6%
5v5 CF%?
41.7%·58.3%
?
WSH wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 31%Deserved to win?69% WSH
the game's chances, replayed · 2.07 xG vs 3.05 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 2@WSH 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-14 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickTom WilsonWSH · 1G · 2A · 0.43 ixG84
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDylan StromeWSH · 2A · 0.21 ixG · 2 gv75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAliaksei ProtasWSH · 1G · 0.30 ixG · 1 blk70TBL
1
Victor Hedman682
Brayden Point673
Jake Guentzel644
J.J. Moser605
Ryan McDonagh596
Anthony Cirelli587
Brandon Hagel548
Nikita Kucherov549
Curtis Douglas5310
Erik Cernak5111
Pontus Holmberg5112
Conor Geekie5113
Max Crozier5114
Gage Goncalves4915
Mitchell Chaffee4816
Yanni Gourde4817
Emil Lilleberg4518
Oliver Bjorkstrand45
Victor Hedman682Brayden Point673Jake Guentzel644J.J. Moser605Ryan McDonagh596Anthony Cirelli587Brandon Hagel548Nikita Kucherov549Curtis Douglas5310Erik Cernak5111Pontus Holmberg5112Conor Geekie5113Max Crozier5114Gage Goncalves4915Mitchell Chaffee4816Yanni Gourde4817Emil Lilleberg4518Oliver Bjorkstrand45Goalies
WSH
1Tom Wilson842Dylan Strome753Aliaksei Protas704
Connor McMichael655
Jakob Chychrun656
John Carlson647
Justin Sourdif578
Nic Dowd579
Brandon Duhaime5510
Hendrix Lapierre5411
Anthony Beauvillier5312
Martin Fehérváry5313
Matt Roy5314
Ryan Leonard5315
Sonny Milano5116
Alex Ovechkin5117
Trevor van Riemsdyk4918
Rasmus Sandin47
Tom Wilson842Dylan Strome753Aliaksei Protas704Connor McMichael655Jakob Chychrun656John Carlson647Justin Sourdif578Nic Dowd579Brandon Duhaime5510Hendrix Lapierre5411Anthony Beauvillier5312Martin Fehérváry5313Matt Roy5314Ryan Leonard5315Sonny Milano5116Alex Ovechkin5117Trevor van Riemsdyk4918Rasmus Sandin47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 1 (8) | 0 (5) | 1 (6) | 0 (0) | 2 |
| WSH | 0 (7) | 1 (8) | 1 (11) | 1 (2) | 3 |
| TBL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 1/5 |
| 8 | Hits | 23 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 19 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| TBL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 3 |
| 2.66 | Expected goals | 4.67 |
| 2.44 | 5v5 xG | 2.93 |
| 0.22 | Power-play xG | 0.67 |
| 37 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 19 | On goal | 28 |
| 9 | High-danger | 18 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 10 | Missed | 19 |
| 8 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.072 | xG per attempt | 0.073 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG76 of 101 attempts shown