Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Tampa Bay Lightning 4@Boston Bruins 3
2025-10-13TBL · BOS
CF%?
44.3%·55.7%
xGF%?
55.7%·44.3%
HDCF%?
48.1%·51.9%
5v5 xGF%?
63.2%·36.8%
5v5 CF%?
52.2%·47.8%
?
BOS wins ↑TBL wins ↓
TBL 58%Deserved to win?42% BOS
the game's chances, replayed · 2.85 xG vs 2.46 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TBL 4@BOS 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-13 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAnthony CirelliTBL · 2G · 0.17 ixG · 1 blk80
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickPontus HolmbergTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.45 ixG79
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickPavel ZachaBOS · 2A · 0.04 ixG · 2 blk76TBL
1Anthony Cirelli802Pontus Holmberg793
Jake Guentzel724
Yanni Gourde685
Oliver Bjorkstrand676
J.J. Moser647
Max Crozier628
Gage Goncalves619
Erik Cernak6010
Brandon Hagel6011
Brayden Point6012
Nikita Kucherov5813
Conor Geekie5514
Victor Hedman5515
Curtis Douglas5416
Ryan McDonagh5317
Mitchell Chaffee5018
Emil Lilleberg43
Anthony Cirelli802Pontus Holmberg793Jake Guentzel724Yanni Gourde685Oliver Bjorkstrand676J.J. Moser647Max Crozier628Gage Goncalves619Erik Cernak6010Brandon Hagel6011Brayden Point6012Nikita Kucherov5813Conor Geekie5514Victor Hedman5515Curtis Douglas5416Ryan McDonagh5317Mitchell Chaffee5018Emil Lilleberg43Goalies
BOS
1Pavel Zacha762
Casey Mittelstadt683
David Pastrnak674
Morgan Geekie665
Viktor Arvidsson656
Jordan Harris637
Mason Lohrei568
Sean Kuraly559
Elias Lindholm5510
Fraser Minten5411
Mark Kastelic5312
Michael Eyssimont5213
Nikita Zadorov5214
Tanner Jeannot5115
Marat Khusnutdinov5016
Charlie McAvoy4917
Henri Jokiharju4818
Andrew Peeke44
Pavel Zacha762Casey Mittelstadt683David Pastrnak674Morgan Geekie665Viktor Arvidsson656Jordan Harris637Mason Lohrei568Sean Kuraly559Elias Lindholm5510Fraser Minten5411Mark Kastelic5312Michael Eyssimont5213Nikita Zadorov5214Tanner Jeannot5115Marat Khusnutdinov5016Charlie McAvoy4917Henri Jokiharju4818Andrew Peeke44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 2 (9) | 2 (9) | 0 (5) | 4 |
| BOS | 0 (11) | 3 (12) | 0 (10) | 3 |
| TBL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/7 |
| 21 | Hits | 31 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 9 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 21 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 19 | Faceoff wins | 41 |
| TBL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 5.13 | Expected goals | 4.08 |
| 3.45 | 5v5 xG | 2.01 |
| 0.18 | Power-play xG | 1.86 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 68 |
| 23 | On goal | 33 |
| 13 | High-danger | 14 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 19 | Missed | 20 |
| 12 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.095 | xG per attempt | 0.060 |
| 29 ft | Avg shot distance | 36 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG95 of 122 attempts shown