Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Colorado Avalanche 3@Buffalo Sabres 1
2025-10-13COL · BUF
CF%?
48.8%·51.2%
xGF%?
50.9%·49.1%
HDCF%?
43.3%·56.7%
5v5 xGF%?
52.6%·47.4%
5v5 CF%?
46.8%·53.2%
?
BUF wins ↑COL wins ↓
COL 62%Deserved to win?38% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.89 xG vs 2.27 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
COL 3@BUF 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-13 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNathan MacKinnonCOL · 2G · 0.57 ixG · 1 blk87
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMartin NecasCOL · 2A · 0.18 ixG · 1 hits82
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickCale MakarCOL · 1G · 1A · 0.28 ixG78COL
1Nathan MacKinnon872Martin Necas823Cale Makar784
Valeri Nichushkin675
Brock Nelson596
Brent Burns587
Victor Olofsson568
Artturi Lehkonen569
Parker Kelly5610
Ilya Solovyov5511
Jack Drury5312
Gabriel Landeskog5313
Josh Manson5214
Sam Malinski5215
Joel Kiviranta5216
Gavin Brindley5117
Ross Colton5018
Devon Toews48
Nathan MacKinnon872Martin Necas823Cale Makar784Valeri Nichushkin675Brock Nelson596Brent Burns587Victor Olofsson568Artturi Lehkonen569Parker Kelly5610Ilya Solovyov5511Jack Drury5312Gabriel Landeskog5313Josh Manson5214Sam Malinski5215Joel Kiviranta5216Gavin Brindley5117Ross Colton5018Devon Toews48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 1 (10) | 2 (12) | 0 (15) | 3 |
| BUF | 1 (13) | 0 (11) | 0 (4) | 1 |
| COL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/5 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 20 | Hits | 11 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 20 |
| 35 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| COL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 1 |
| 4.22 | Expected goals | 4.07 |
| 3.03 | 5v5 xG | 2.73 |
| 1.00 | Power-play xG | 1.08 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 37 | On goal | 28 |
| 13 | High-danger | 17 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 14 | Missed | 17 |
| 12 | Blocked | 21 |
| 0.067 | xG per attempt | 0.062 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 35 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG96 of 129 attempts shown