Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 1@Boston Bruins 3
2025-10-11BUF · BOS
CF%?
46.3%·53.7%
xGF%?
30.8%·69.2%
HDCF%?
42.3%·57.7%
5v5 xGF%?
45.8%·54.2%
5v5 CF%?
47.4%·52.6%
?
BOS wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 32%Deserved to win?68% BOS
the game's chances, replayed · 1.88 xG vs 2.76 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 1@BOS 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-11 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMark KastelicBOS · 1G · 1A · 0.12 ixG81
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickSean KuralyBOS · 1G · 0.90 ixG · 1 hits75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickElias LindholmBOS · 1A · 0.34 ixG · 2 blk74BUF
1
Jason Zucker692
Mattias Samuelsson673
Tage Thompson584
Josh Doan575
Peyton Krebs566
Alex Tuch547
Tyson Kozak538
Jiri Kulich539
Justin Danforth5210
Jacob Bryson5211
Ryan McLeod5012
Beck Malenstyn5013
Owen Power5014
Mason Geertsen4915
Jack Quinn4916
Conor Timmins4717
Bowen Byram4718
Rasmus Dahlin45
Jason Zucker692Mattias Samuelsson673Tage Thompson584Josh Doan575Peyton Krebs566Alex Tuch547Tyson Kozak538Jiri Kulich539Justin Danforth5210Jacob Bryson5211Ryan McLeod5012Beck Malenstyn5013Owen Power5014Mason Geertsen4915Jack Quinn4916Conor Timmins4717Bowen Byram4718Rasmus Dahlin45Goalies
BOS
1Mark Kastelic812Sean Kuraly753Elias Lindholm744
Pavel Zacha655
Charlie McAvoy636
Jordan Harris627
Andrew Peeke618
David Pastrnak599
Nikita Zadorov5510
Viktor Arvidsson5511
Mason Lohrei5512
Fraser Minten5413
Marat Khusnutdinov5314
Tanner Jeannot5215
Henri Jokiharju5116
Casey Mittelstadt5017
Michael Eyssimont4918
Morgan Geekie49
Mark Kastelic812Sean Kuraly753Elias Lindholm744Pavel Zacha655Charlie McAvoy636Jordan Harris627Andrew Peeke618David Pastrnak599Nikita Zadorov5510Viktor Arvidsson5511Mason Lohrei5512Fraser Minten5413Marat Khusnutdinov5314Tanner Jeannot5215Henri Jokiharju5116Casey Mittelstadt5017Michael Eyssimont4918Morgan Geekie49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 0 (2) | 0 (13) | 1 (7) | 1 |
| BOS | 1 (17) | 1 (9) | 1 (5) | 3 |
| BUF | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 32 | Hits | 25 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 1 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| BUF | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 3 |
| 3.21 | Expected goals | 7.20 |
| 1.80 | 5v5 xG | 2.14 |
| 1.22 | Power-play xG | 2.05 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 22 | On goal | 31 |
| 11 | High-danger | 15 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 17 | Missed | 19 |
| 18 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.056 | xG per attempt | 0.109 |
| 37 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG89 of 123 attempts shown